What is the worst record that an MAC school will make the playoffs with this year?? 5-5? 4-6?
@Voice I know you did some analysis on this at one point.
Mr PSkin,
I did an analysis on the %'s of making the playoffs with the 12 team setup based on the records in D5-D7 since the OHSAA went to 7 divisions.
Being summer time I am not going to waste my time and doing this for the top 16 but who am I kidding, maybe I will do that this evening.....
HOWEVER, below is what I came up with and you can use an educated guess..
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What will it take to make the playoffs?
Of course, it depends on a lot of other factors, but it gives a little insight on what has been the chances since the 7 division format was adopted.
DIVISION 5:
10 wins: 100%
9 wins: 100%
8 wins: 100%
7 wins: 93.3 %
6 wins: 65.9%
5 wins: 40.2 %
4 wins: 9.9 %
3 wins: only one team would have finished in the top 12 with 3 wins, and I did not track all the 3 win teams who did NOT make it.
DIVISION 6:
10, 9, 8 wins: 100%
7 wins: 90.2%
6 wins: 66.3%
5 wins: 22.6%
4 wins: 3.6%
3 and below: ZERO.
DIVISION 7:
8-10 wins: 100%
7 wins: 98.4%
6 wins: 91.3%
5 wins: 65.7
4 wins: 35.7
3 wins: 4 teams would have finished in the top 12, did not track all three win teams who did not make it.
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As you can see, in D7 a team with 5 wins would have made the top 12 nearly 66% of the times. I would have to believe that would greatly increase.
I would almost think that 4 wins in D7 would get teams into the playoffs nearly half the time.