My analysis would be based on the following points I believe to be true:
1) The game location is important in conjunction with the date/weather. X gets a big boost in an inclement weather situation - esp. involving cold/snow/sleet/wind... Northern football is run-focused for a reason. Ex. X took the Ohio Mr. Football and his 3,000 yards passing and 40 ppg offense and shut it down
2) X's defense got stronger versus the pass as the season progressed. For example, X took the Ohio Mr. Football and his 3,000 yards passing and 40 ppg offense and shut it down. Early success passing by Glenville and Trinity led to adjustments that strengthened the X pass defense markedly. Also, yu need to keep in mind that due to X's run defense, teams were forced to get any success they had through the air (X gave up just 58 ypg rushing on average).
3) X had alot of talent and there would not likely be the huge talent gap everyone thinks exists. These are quick examples. I'm sure others have offers/honors I don't have at hand.
Ashley - Louisville commit, 1st team All-Ohio
Craig - Stanford commit (many other offers from stronger teams), 1st team All-Ohio, All-Ohio Defensive Player of the Year
Scruggs - offers from Michigan, MSU, Louisville, others
Ball - Akron, Minnesota offers (others?)
Muldoon - 2nd team All-State
Milligan - Co-All-Ohio offensive POY, #8 ranked kicker/punter in nation per ProKicker
Baumann - 1st Team All-Ohio
Schneider - Ohio, E. Michigan, Bowling Green offers
Miller - Honorable Mention All-State
At least two or three underclass underclassmen starters are reportedy getting D1 looks already (Massa, Keuchly, James).
So:
This weekend in....
1-Columbus (risk of rain, high 40) - X favored by 10+
2-Miami - To be honest, a push. Not too hot (80), no rain. MNW by a few on turf if their speed is all they say. Part of this is due to the fact that I imagine most X players have probably travelled by plan more than once and they are used to big, hyped games with OOS comp.
3-GA Dome in Atlanta - Push.