Lakota West Firebirds vs. St. Xavier Bombers PREVIEW
Lakota West Firebirds 19-5 (12-4 in GMC)
How they got here: Beat SW-S #17 Hamilton 68-60, Beat SW #9 Oak Hills 54-47
Starters:
6'0" Jr Tyson Davis (4.3 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 45.1/40.0/61.5)
6'3" So Joshua Tyson (16.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 61.3/40.7/77.8)
6'3" Sr Isaiah Meade-Moss (9.4 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 49.4/36.3/58.5)
6'4" So Bryce Curry (12.1 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 53.6/34.5/72.4)
6'6" Sr LJ Green (10.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 59.1/47.6/78.9)
Bench:
6'2" Sr Alex Dudukovich (5.5 ppg, 1.7 rpg, 46.1/22.9/87.5)
6'5" Sr Aaron Phipps (2.1 ppg, 1.7 rpg, 16-36 FG)
Overview:
Lakota West is a super efficient offensive team that runs a 4-round-1 dribble drive motion offense with heavy use of pick-and-rolls. The ball is frequently in the hands of super sophomores Joshua Tyson and Bryce Curry, both of whom have Power 5 offers, with big man LJ Green serving as the screener. Tyson might be the best sophomore guard in Ohio and is insanely efficient coming off the pick-and-roll. Curry is not quite as good with the ball in his hands but is a high flier in transition. Green is effective as both the roller and on pick-and-pop. Meade-Moss is a good off-the-ball players and can shoot the 3 or can cut to the rim and dunk. Dudukovich and Davis can also both create off the dribble. West shoots an insane 53.4% from the field and 36.2% from 3. Defensively, they play a combination of token full court man-to-man and a 1-3-1 3/4 court trap that they can pack back into the half court. They don't force a ton of turnovers, but they still hold opponents to 41.8% FG. They can sometimes lose focus on the defensive end. Overall though, this is one of the most talented teams in the state and, if you did the high school version of KenPom, also one of the most efficient. Dudukovich missed the last tournament game and is status is not known.
St. Xavier Bombers 19-5 (5-1 in GCL-S)
How they got here: Beat SW-S #19 Colerain 56-18, Beat SW-S #11 Lebanon 45-25
Starters:
5'9" Sr Brendan Deeley (5.0 ppg, 2.7 apg, 39.1/18.2/70.2)
6'2" Jr Kobe Clapper (1.9 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 13-32 FG)
6'4" Jr Brayden Reilly (5.4 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 53.4/24.1/56.5)
6'5" Sr Donovan Waleskowski (13.3 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 49.5/43.0/71.4)
6'10" Sr Jacob Wassler (11.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 2.5 apg, 47.3/28.6/70.0)
Bench:
6'5" So Liam McGeady (3.2 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 11-33 3FG)
6'2" Jr Jack Ryan (3.7 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 44.0/8.7/66.7)
5'9" Jr Jake Britt (0.3 ppg, 0.6 rpg, 2-11 FG)
5'9" Jr Luke Sorce (2.7 ppg, 1.1 rpg, 23-68 FG)
6'3" Jr Connor Bareswilt (2.2 ppg, 1.3 rpg, 18-40 FG)
5'11" Jr Brady McDonald (0.8 ppg, 1.2 rpg, 4-20 FG)
6'5" Jr John Veith (1.9 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 16-29 FG)
Overview:
The calling card for St. Xavier is the most effective man-to-man defense in the state. The GCL-S website doesn't report it, but I was told they allow around 35% FG on the season, which is insane. X will play pressure man-to-man out to half court and will also pick-up full court. They have great positional length and use their depth to keep players fresh so they can keep up the intensity. They will play physical and are a great rebounding team. In a couple rare instances this year (might have been fatigue), they didn't extend their defensive pressure and they got lit up. Offensively, X runs a Princeton-style motion offense with a lot of the action centered around Bellarmine-commit Jacob Wassler in the high post. He's an excellent passer and can shoot and score on the block, although he is not an efficient shooter. He is questionable for this game and might be out. If he's out, that leaves Donovan Waleskowski as their only offensive threat, and Waleskowski is still a little bit more of a spot up shooter, although he will come off screens. If you take away Waleskowski's contributions, the rest of the team shoots a horrid 24.3% from 3. This is also a poor foul shooting team at 62.8%. The rest of the team cuts hard and they have several guys that can finish at the rim, particularly Reilly and Ryan, but they don't have many players that can create their own shot.
Keys to the game for Lakota West:
-Great shot selection. When they get into the lane and pull-up or kick it, they are insanely efficient.
-Don't overplay and allow X to back-cut. Make them shoot from the outside.
-Don't lose Waleskowski, especially in transition.
Keys to the game for St. Xavier:
-Make it ugly. A slow-paced, physical slugfest in the 30s is ideal.
-Find the right balance between offense and defense. Despite X's great depth, they have too many guys who aren't offensive threats.
-Get Waleskowski loose for open looks. He's the only shooter on the team.
Prediction:
Lakota West beat St. X 61-56 in overtime just over 2 weeks ago, but Wassler played in that game. If Wassler doesn't play in this one (it seems like he isn't), I just don't see how X scores enough to win. Lakota West is too damn efficient offensively, and Joshua Tyson is simply the best player on the court, to think that you could hold them below 40, which is the point threshold that I think X needs to keep the game under. Lakota West will lead and X will have to extend pressure late, leading to some spectacular runout dunks from Curry and Meade-Moss. Lakota West wins 46-38.