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The major factor there is medical capacity only. There has been plenty of time for any cultural adjustments to take place, for the majority who do not have their heads up their azzes to be part of the solution, and as long as we're watchful, to progress to some normalcy and spend, spend, spend those checks. Only the cowards and sheep are afraid America is not capable of recoverying economically down even to the small business level and using this as a learning for any future similar occurances.
We bent the curve, we did not overwhelm our medical facilities. For every hospital that was "overwhelmed" there were 100 that saw next to nothing. We've given our manufacturing sector time to change gears and pump out masks, ventilators, test kits, etc. America IS capable of recovery, we've done it from depressions, recessions, pandemics, wars, etc. not just once but multiple times through our history.
Where this was different is that it was an induced panic and recession. The media manipulated the population like no other time in our history and that includes the yellow journalism era. You can talk to people and there is a real fear of EVERY death from CV19, we lose tens of thousands from the flu every year, tens of thousands from car accidents, hundreds of thousands from heart disease, hundreds of thousands from smoking..... all of which are preventable, easily preventable, but you don't see the terror in people's eyes when talking about those.
Can we recover? Yes. Will we recover? Yes. The problem was that while the government was shutting businesses down no one was thinking about insuring their survival so that there could be a sustained recovery across the board. Not just small business, but large companies and corporations as well. As we were considering stimulus or "bailouts" during the economic coma, the government's actions should have been to keep all businesses alive. There was no need to send checks to millions of people whether or not they were impacted, there was no need to send to shore up unemployment, foodstamps, or any other government welfare program - we were at 97% employment, all we had to do was make sure people continued to get paychecks and for that all we needed to do was make sure employers could still pay their bills and cover the payroll. We've spent almost $4T to cover the results of the government action, not to prevent those results. If we'd have treated the symptoms of the government actions, as we reopened, the same businesses that people were working for would be able to welcome them back quickly for each phase.
As many as 50% of small businesses will fail because of this if it lasts even 6 months without full normality. As many as 10% of large corporations will fail in those same conditions. That's according to the US Chamber of Commerce. If that happens recovery isn't quick. During the last recession about 200K small businesses went belly up in 2008-2010 - the worst case projections for this
year are 7.5M. An Obama-like recovery would take decades, we can't treat results - we have to treat symptoms.
The stay-in-place requirements were never about saving lives, it was about buying time. We cannot prevent any or all deaths from CV19, we can only delay the inevitable. Because until we either reach herd immunity or develop a vaccine, people will get this, and some will live and some will die. Those are the indisputable facts. The reality is that for 99% of the people that get it, it is no big deal and most of those people will be asymptomatic. Reopening is not a question, it's not even something that can be put off. Anyone with a brain can see that. The sad thing is, is that we have people in this country that do not have functioning brains and they cannot understand the facts, they need their safe spaces, comfort puppies, and non-triggering words in order to not lie in a darkened room crying about things they don't understand and can't control.