Neither scratch so far has real impact on the structure of the tournament. Maybe limited at 215 as it gives Beard (Louisville) an easier pickup in the first round, as I thought he was going to get a 4 over 1 anyway.
My forecasting has Buckeye clearing nine to state, though I think eight is the more likely outcome.
106 - Walker/Prosperi is an obvious final. I think the next four best kids are paired up in the other two quarter brackets. I'm projecting Otero & Carpenter to get out.
113 - Bartos and Barker are the class of the field, and should meet in the final. I think LoFaso/Carone is the key quarter to determine the fourth qualifier with Bean likely to beat that quarter's loser in the other go-to.
120 - Limbert is clearly ahead of the field here. I have Rocco v Czarnecki in the other semi with both likely to get out. The fourth spot should be between Sindelar and the winner of the bottom quarter bracket (Kaleal, O'Donnell, or Rhoads)
126 - Barker is the best of the field. I like Coffin from the other half, though Jackson and Stanley/Childers are tossup type matches for him. In terms of the backside qualifiers, I'm picking Harrison and Jackson, though it's an open weight class outside of Barker for the last three spots.
132 - Hickman leads the way here. I think Duniec is a solid number two, with Hart and Reid the next two best. They're all in different quarters.
138 - Scharrer to clear the bottom (Bissell then Duniec quarter and semi), Wade to clear the top (McKee then Burt/Nezbeth). Go-to winners: Bissell and McKee
144 - Beckett/Dunlap meet in a quarter, the winner should hit the final. Down in the lower half, I think Hobbs is the pick for the finalist spot. In terms of go-to, I think Dunlap gets out, then I think it's Trisket v Hall in the top half of consi.
150 - I like Craddock for the overall weight class, Brunst then Bartlett quarter and semi. I like Klimak in the lower half, Bee then Jones quarter and semi. Go-to wise, I like Bee and Brunst, though I think Brunst over Jones would be a reversal of the sectional.
157 - King is the favorite in the overall weight, quarterfinal v Hurley an interesting match. Lower half is wide open, I think Vencil (Pugh) over Denamen (Jarvis) is my semifinal pick. Go-to wise, Hurley/Denamen would be a sectional final rematch, while I have Pugh clearing the top half of consolation.
165 - Shaw-Mason and Badiu are the two best in the weight, unfortunately they're both in the top half. The Callock/Nixon quarterfinal winner takes second, while the loser is fifth at best. I have Blough getting the fourth qualifying spot.
175 - Again the two best kids are in the top half, Duffy and Maloney. I have Lucas (Oslin) over Heath (Stecker) for the bottom half finalist spot. I like the bottom semifinal loser to get out, while the bottom quarter losers feed into Maloney, which is not a good position.
190 - Neitenbach is acres ahead of this field. I think Eddy is the next best here, though there's a massive gap from 1-to-2 that is greater than from like 2-to-6. Other qualifiers for me are Webster and Church, though it's anyone's guess.
215 - Two of the three best kids in this weight are the late droppers from 285, Wheatley and Vanscoy. I think Griffith is the other top three kid in the weight for the district. While I project Malone to take the fourth qualifying spot.
285 - Rather congest weight class with six highly competitive kids. It's similar to last year at this district in that regard with likely very close quarters, semis, and go-to. My picks are Mozden, Doyle, Feister, Bowser, Luce, and Greenberg in that order.
My forecasting has Buckeye clearing nine to state, though I think eight is the more likely outcome.
106 - Walker/Prosperi is an obvious final. I think the next four best kids are paired up in the other two quarter brackets. I'm projecting Otero & Carpenter to get out.
113 - Bartos and Barker are the class of the field, and should meet in the final. I think LoFaso/Carone is the key quarter to determine the fourth qualifier with Bean likely to beat that quarter's loser in the other go-to.
120 - Limbert is clearly ahead of the field here. I have Rocco v Czarnecki in the other semi with both likely to get out. The fourth spot should be between Sindelar and the winner of the bottom quarter bracket (Kaleal, O'Donnell, or Rhoads)
126 - Barker is the best of the field. I like Coffin from the other half, though Jackson and Stanley/Childers are tossup type matches for him. In terms of the backside qualifiers, I'm picking Harrison and Jackson, though it's an open weight class outside of Barker for the last three spots.
132 - Hickman leads the way here. I think Duniec is a solid number two, with Hart and Reid the next two best. They're all in different quarters.
138 - Scharrer to clear the bottom (Bissell then Duniec quarter and semi), Wade to clear the top (McKee then Burt/Nezbeth). Go-to winners: Bissell and McKee
144 - Beckett/Dunlap meet in a quarter, the winner should hit the final. Down in the lower half, I think Hobbs is the pick for the finalist spot. In terms of go-to, I think Dunlap gets out, then I think it's Trisket v Hall in the top half of consi.
150 - I like Craddock for the overall weight class, Brunst then Bartlett quarter and semi. I like Klimak in the lower half, Bee then Jones quarter and semi. Go-to wise, I like Bee and Brunst, though I think Brunst over Jones would be a reversal of the sectional.
157 - King is the favorite in the overall weight, quarterfinal v Hurley an interesting match. Lower half is wide open, I think Vencil (Pugh) over Denamen (Jarvis) is my semifinal pick. Go-to wise, Hurley/Denamen would be a sectional final rematch, while I have Pugh clearing the top half of consolation.
165 - Shaw-Mason and Badiu are the two best in the weight, unfortunately they're both in the top half. The Callock/Nixon quarterfinal winner takes second, while the loser is fifth at best. I have Blough getting the fourth qualifying spot.
175 - Again the two best kids are in the top half, Duffy and Maloney. I have Lucas (Oslin) over Heath (Stecker) for the bottom half finalist spot. I like the bottom semifinal loser to get out, while the bottom quarter losers feed into Maloney, which is not a good position.
190 - Neitenbach is acres ahead of this field. I think Eddy is the next best here, though there's a massive gap from 1-to-2 that is greater than from like 2-to-6. Other qualifiers for me are Webster and Church, though it's anyone's guess.
215 - Two of the three best kids in this weight are the late droppers from 285, Wheatley and Vanscoy. I think Griffith is the other top three kid in the weight for the district. While I project Malone to take the fourth qualifying spot.
285 - Rather congest weight class with six highly competitive kids. It's similar to last year at this district in that regard with likely very close quarters, semis, and go-to. My picks are Mozden, Doyle, Feister, Bowser, Luce, and Greenberg in that order.
