Harrycrane
Well-known member
Friends with a guy I couldn't pick out of a line-up. I've never spoken in person with anyone with this this guy's views so I know I don't know him. Silliness? I'm a very nice man he says as if that gives him credibility. Claims to Drive by my house and says I'm home when I'm not? A few years ago when he started coming to this space because he was suddenly a fan of the program for obvious reasons, he never claimed to know me. Certainly, haven't met him subsequently. Anyway enough of this obvious silliness and this guy in general , time to really ignore his silliness. Most here don't really respect this guy. He and others have the 2024 thread to talk about me without me interfering and AHM will still be here all the time of course being weird and creepy.
Football season is now completely over. Niners lost a great chance obviously and the Chiefs as solid as they have lived well and get just enough breaks to keep winning the last two years. Big injury's to the Dolphins and Bills defense and then the Ravens turning it over twice in the end zone. Weird head scratching offensive plan. Tons of penalties from the Ravens helping at every turn. Fumbled 5 times in the SB and recovered 4 of them. Most holding penalties in the league during the season yet none last Sunday? Against that front? [Saw 3 obvious calls that should have been made} In fact they have not had one holding call in all three SB's. Definitely living well. But they are in a position every year and this year like a few years ago SF squanders a 10-point lead and chances to take total control of the game and failed to. Liked SF but it was apparent that they were letting the Chiefs hang around and in game the play even behind by a score was take the Chiefs at a plus price to ensure a small profit after taking the Niners. Overtime cost us a couple props and helped with a couple. UNDER was a good play that just barely hung on.
CFB NIL and wild west dynamic probably needs some legislation of some kind. OSU is thriving and will have some advantages no doubt. Others will slip a bit without the resources to keep up. [Michigan and Alabama losing great coaches and some players two examples}. Worst CFB year in a while for me after a couple solid years after the pandemic but before the larger transient nature of the sport. Futures pretty much suked to with some bad luck no question but also not gauging the turnover of players and some staff with a few of these teams in college. NFL wasn't great either futures wise but hedging mitigated some of the badness but the NFL in general was ok for us. Player props overall made a modest profit and in game stuff was a positive in the long run. College football adjustments need to be made. Lack of continuity is at its highest level overall and coaches are moving around at higher levels. OSU gets veteran NFL and Penn State guy O'Brien as OC and in NY minute he's gone to BC after it's HC goes to GB as an assistant. Enter Chip Kelly from UCLA as he joins fellow New Hampshire native Ryan Day and will be the OC.
OSU hoops with the big win as the trend of unranked teams at home beating ranked opponents is a solid moneymaker with the Bucks getting 8.5 winning outright. 56 percent cover rate even after a struggle so far in February. This time of the year the bubble teams or teams a step away from the bubble playing a conference rival often play absurdly hard and sometimes play spoiler and maybe get themselves back in to consideration with a huge win. VA Tech tonight at home vs UVA is one of those games and heavy money on VA Tech got the line to the unranked Hokies GIVING a couple points to UVA. Tough to win on the road in CBB conference play for even the more talented stronger teams. Obscure game with a lot of Pro money on it that drove the price from the PICK opening to 2- 2.5 is SE Louisiana at home vs road challenged Lamar. Been a good year overall in CBB with a very good start one horrible losing week and a half period but at 56.4 percent [Down from 61 but up from that bad dip to 53.5}
Coffman football at 21-16 through three years of the Stokes era, has a rebuild on defense but 5 guys back for a 3rd year of starting on offense. [Peterson doesn't go back to soccer it would have been 6} has potential. This would have been a year where a Pick North and Bradley may get a quality transfer at QB as they have at other times to name just two programs. Both lose multiple year starters as Coffman does as well. The last Coffman QB transfer was 2016 when Brown came in from Marysville as a Soph but didn't start till two years later as a Senior and had a good year. This would have been a year that such a program as the Rocks with solid pieces to work with may get an interested player at that position. Doesn't look like it will happen. Bradley had a Frosh who had to play when the veteran and former transfer Fleharty went down in the regional final last few plays. Pick North always picks up a few quality athletes but haven't heard if they are getting a QB to play with studs Bowman out wide and Taylor at RB. Some good size over there up front as well. Bradley looks to be rebuilding and looks like it is a Soph at QB unless an older transfer comes in.
Since the early 2000's the Rocks were known for the spread offense and running at a faster pace. Talented passing QB's throwing to at least fairly talented skill guys and a solid running back or two. Some of these years the skill kids were really good and they scored a lot of points running a lot of plays. Fast paced, creative and they executed well and the receivers caught the ball well and some ran with well after catching it. Crabtree's last couple years they ran the QB more, threw less as they did what they could do best with the personnel they had. Brown in 2018 Mathews in 2019 and 2020 were effective runners. Mathews ran more and was faster. Brown bigger. Maggs in 2021 ran it more as well and was a solid passer overall but the team was in transition and was rebuilding big time with a new coach and little experience back. Now the Coffman offense runs at a slow use the clock pace and first halves especially are over in the blink of an eye most weeks. Stokes has been quoted multiple times as saying that's the way 'WE HAVE TO PLAY" our margin for error is small Not disagreeing with him. I get it. In Crabtree's 20 years the offense averaged 6 games a year scoring 30 plus points. 4 times with their best teems with the most offensive guys back [ 2007 ,2009, 2012, 2014, did it 9 times. The low point offensively came after the Jerome school split in 2005 with only two games over 30 points. 2020 season was only 9 games long overall [3 play-off games} and had 4 games over 30 and two more at 28 points. 4 games happened 4 times. So only one year saw only 2 higher scoring games and that was still a play-off team in a 8 team region. Last three years has seen the team average 2.3 games over 30 points. [3 in 2021, 2 in both 22 and 23.}
With what they have at QB this year the plan will probably be more of a slow it down have the QB run it a lot with direct snaps and try to hit a couple shots downfield. The defense needs further protection from a complementary football standpoint and without a dynamic QB who can throw it well , it will likely be the same modus operandi with the new guy playing the running QB Hart role with less experience . RB White needs to make that jump and he showed signs in his second year starting as the lone back , so the QB will maybe run less and he will get more carries this year and be more productive hopefully. Penciling in the automatic 8-2 or better no worse than 7-3 days are in the past. 7-3 seems the ceiling and 5-5 is possible. This year with a lot of experience the team was a 52 yard bomb at the gun and a 2 PT conversion that easily could have been made by Davidson that almost fully erased a 21-point deficit away from 5-5. Last 5 weeks were awesome and a great job by an excellent HC and his staff. Coffman is lucky to have a coach of Stokes caliber after having the 20 year run, they had with a coach that will certainly be an Ohio HS HOF inductee at some point down the road. Program has great support from the parents as it does for most of it's sports programs and again as I saw are a top 10 in the state fundraising wise. [Those discount cards most of our kids have had to sell at some point lol
Football season is now completely over. Niners lost a great chance obviously and the Chiefs as solid as they have lived well and get just enough breaks to keep winning the last two years. Big injury's to the Dolphins and Bills defense and then the Ravens turning it over twice in the end zone. Weird head scratching offensive plan. Tons of penalties from the Ravens helping at every turn. Fumbled 5 times in the SB and recovered 4 of them. Most holding penalties in the league during the season yet none last Sunday? Against that front? [Saw 3 obvious calls that should have been made} In fact they have not had one holding call in all three SB's. Definitely living well. But they are in a position every year and this year like a few years ago SF squanders a 10-point lead and chances to take total control of the game and failed to. Liked SF but it was apparent that they were letting the Chiefs hang around and in game the play even behind by a score was take the Chiefs at a plus price to ensure a small profit after taking the Niners. Overtime cost us a couple props and helped with a couple. UNDER was a good play that just barely hung on.
CFB NIL and wild west dynamic probably needs some legislation of some kind. OSU is thriving and will have some advantages no doubt. Others will slip a bit without the resources to keep up. [Michigan and Alabama losing great coaches and some players two examples}. Worst CFB year in a while for me after a couple solid years after the pandemic but before the larger transient nature of the sport. Futures pretty much suked to with some bad luck no question but also not gauging the turnover of players and some staff with a few of these teams in college. NFL wasn't great either futures wise but hedging mitigated some of the badness but the NFL in general was ok for us. Player props overall made a modest profit and in game stuff was a positive in the long run. College football adjustments need to be made. Lack of continuity is at its highest level overall and coaches are moving around at higher levels. OSU gets veteran NFL and Penn State guy O'Brien as OC and in NY minute he's gone to BC after it's HC goes to GB as an assistant. Enter Chip Kelly from UCLA as he joins fellow New Hampshire native Ryan Day and will be the OC.
OSU hoops with the big win as the trend of unranked teams at home beating ranked opponents is a solid moneymaker with the Bucks getting 8.5 winning outright. 56 percent cover rate even after a struggle so far in February. This time of the year the bubble teams or teams a step away from the bubble playing a conference rival often play absurdly hard and sometimes play spoiler and maybe get themselves back in to consideration with a huge win. VA Tech tonight at home vs UVA is one of those games and heavy money on VA Tech got the line to the unranked Hokies GIVING a couple points to UVA. Tough to win on the road in CBB conference play for even the more talented stronger teams. Obscure game with a lot of Pro money on it that drove the price from the PICK opening to 2- 2.5 is SE Louisiana at home vs road challenged Lamar. Been a good year overall in CBB with a very good start one horrible losing week and a half period but at 56.4 percent [Down from 61 but up from that bad dip to 53.5}
Coffman football at 21-16 through three years of the Stokes era, has a rebuild on defense but 5 guys back for a 3rd year of starting on offense. [Peterson doesn't go back to soccer it would have been 6} has potential. This would have been a year where a Pick North and Bradley may get a quality transfer at QB as they have at other times to name just two programs. Both lose multiple year starters as Coffman does as well. The last Coffman QB transfer was 2016 when Brown came in from Marysville as a Soph but didn't start till two years later as a Senior and had a good year. This would have been a year that such a program as the Rocks with solid pieces to work with may get an interested player at that position. Doesn't look like it will happen. Bradley had a Frosh who had to play when the veteran and former transfer Fleharty went down in the regional final last few plays. Pick North always picks up a few quality athletes but haven't heard if they are getting a QB to play with studs Bowman out wide and Taylor at RB. Some good size over there up front as well. Bradley looks to be rebuilding and looks like it is a Soph at QB unless an older transfer comes in.
Since the early 2000's the Rocks were known for the spread offense and running at a faster pace. Talented passing QB's throwing to at least fairly talented skill guys and a solid running back or two. Some of these years the skill kids were really good and they scored a lot of points running a lot of plays. Fast paced, creative and they executed well and the receivers caught the ball well and some ran with well after catching it. Crabtree's last couple years they ran the QB more, threw less as they did what they could do best with the personnel they had. Brown in 2018 Mathews in 2019 and 2020 were effective runners. Mathews ran more and was faster. Brown bigger. Maggs in 2021 ran it more as well and was a solid passer overall but the team was in transition and was rebuilding big time with a new coach and little experience back. Now the Coffman offense runs at a slow use the clock pace and first halves especially are over in the blink of an eye most weeks. Stokes has been quoted multiple times as saying that's the way 'WE HAVE TO PLAY" our margin for error is small Not disagreeing with him. I get it. In Crabtree's 20 years the offense averaged 6 games a year scoring 30 plus points. 4 times with their best teems with the most offensive guys back [ 2007 ,2009, 2012, 2014, did it 9 times. The low point offensively came after the Jerome school split in 2005 with only two games over 30 points. 2020 season was only 9 games long overall [3 play-off games} and had 4 games over 30 and two more at 28 points. 4 games happened 4 times. So only one year saw only 2 higher scoring games and that was still a play-off team in a 8 team region. Last three years has seen the team average 2.3 games over 30 points. [3 in 2021, 2 in both 22 and 23.}
With what they have at QB this year the plan will probably be more of a slow it down have the QB run it a lot with direct snaps and try to hit a couple shots downfield. The defense needs further protection from a complementary football standpoint and without a dynamic QB who can throw it well , it will likely be the same modus operandi with the new guy playing the running QB Hart role with less experience . RB White needs to make that jump and he showed signs in his second year starting as the lone back , so the QB will maybe run less and he will get more carries this year and be more productive hopefully. Penciling in the automatic 8-2 or better no worse than 7-3 days are in the past. 7-3 seems the ceiling and 5-5 is possible. This year with a lot of experience the team was a 52 yard bomb at the gun and a 2 PT conversion that easily could have been made by Davidson that almost fully erased a 21-point deficit away from 5-5. Last 5 weeks were awesome and a great job by an excellent HC and his staff. Coffman is lucky to have a coach of Stokes caliber after having the 20 year run, they had with a coach that will certainly be an Ohio HS HOF inductee at some point down the road. Program has great support from the parents as it does for most of it's sports programs and again as I saw are a top 10 in the state fundraising wise. [Those discount cards most of our kids have had to sell at some point lol
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