This seasons state meet might just be the most competitive in years. The top three from last year have lots of points and/or relay spots to replace. The next 7 spots were only separated by 24 points. Several of those 7 will be down as well this year. Centerville and Hoover look to be losing the most of those 7. Sycamore will be hurting losing Fry and Hudson will need help to give some support to Palazzo. Moeller should improve with George and Nymberg returning and having Hodge back on the team.
Buckeyedr, St Francis will have a shot at X however the depending on part will be on them and not so much on X. X will reload, though they will be down on points from last year. The question is going to be whether or not all those very close, should's and could's you mention will actually produce. The relays do return very nicely, however that was with 2 relays. That means several relay spots will need to make their marks to have all 3 get to the top. Which might not be to hard if the top guys are separated correctly. I'm always curious regarding the meaning behind tapers not being done correctly or effectively. It's a tough call these days for coaches for most swimmers. Taper for districts to make sure to get to states and potentially sacrifice better times at states, or taper for states and maybe not make it past districts. The only one that really sticks out for me regarding St F is Brodie not making it to state in the 100 Free. Is there more to it for St F that just Brodie for last year?