redskinfan04
Well-known member
Sure looks like (and the candidates are behaving like) this is going to finish pretty close. If you're Vance, and you're confident you're going to win, you don't appear at events with Marjorie Taylor Greene on the last weekend (great ammunition for Ryan in the fall). So, he's desperate for every vote.
Mandel has "kept the faith" with the extreme right. The polling suggests the redder they are, the less educated they are, they're going with Mandel. Mandel looks to be focusing primarily on turning out his demographic, very Trump-like. Doesn't look to be pursuing new avenues...
Timken seems to have run a confused campaign, claiming to be something she's not. Lots of righty TV ads, but on the last weekend, who's she with? Portman.
Vance...this will so clearly be a litmus test for Trump's influence. Vance was heading toward a 4th (or 5th) place finish before Trump's endorsement. Still, if he does win, it will be narrow, maybe not even more than 30%. Trump can claim power and influence if Vance wins, but that kind of win reveals more of Trump's current weakness than his strength.
Dolan...You people on the right properly chastise big American cities for their breakdown in law and ORDER. But disorder is everywhere in our culture these days...the disorder of the Republican party is striking. You see disorder in the manner in which drivers are currently disobeying speed limits. ORDER is important...in all aspects of our culture. Dolan reflects a re-imposition of the status quo...something that we need. I wouldn't bet on him, but I won't be shocked if he eeks out the win.
Gibbons...the oldest dude in this race. Will be 70 soon. As the votes all start getting sorted out, Gibbons is bleeding votes in the direction of Dolan as well as Vance...and even maybe to Mandel. Rand Paul made a commercial for him, but that was a long time ago. Would I want Paul on the ground in Ohio if I was Gibbons? I guess (all the help I can get), but has Paul done anything since that commercial?
Last thought...
Flyover American conservatives hate a lot of the current state of affairs in the USA. But, they're going to vote (some) for Vance, who is basically a creation of the NYT, the New York Review of Books, Harper's and the The Atlantic. They're the ones who made JD a "thing". Interesting...
You'll catapult an NEO Irish-Catholic multi-millionaire into the lead who attempted to buy this seat...no background in governing...spent double what other people spent.
And the rightiest of the righties is a Jew (who also looks a helluva lot like a political opportunist...a guy who put his dampened finger up to the wind about 10-15 years ago and moved right).
Is this all good...Heck No! BUT, it's really interesting...
Timken thought she could swim in multiple lanes and win. She’ll probably keep Dolan from winning though as her voters would tend to be Dolan voters over Mandel or Vance.
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