From GCL Coed thread:
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Updated 01-Oct-2022 10:52PM
Week 7 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of
Joe Eitel
Region 16 home
Region 16 projections
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Locks or near-locks (99%+)
1.
Wyoming (7-0) Already in and home twice
2.
Taft (5-2) Already in and likely home, 95% twice
3.
Unioto (6-1) Already in and likely home, 87% twice
4.
Bishop Fenwick (5-2) Already in, 96% home, 48% twice
5.
Archbishop McNicholas (4-3) Likely in, 69% home, 5% twice
6.
Archbishop Alter (4-3) Likely in, 85% home, 44% twice
7.
Reading (5-2) Likely in, 78% home
8.
Urbana (5-2) Likely in, 72% home, 10% twice
9.
Shawnee (Springfield) (5-2) Likely in, 44% home, 10% twice
10.
Northridge (5-1) Likely in, 5% home
Region 16 projections
Updated 01-Oct-2022 10:52PM
Week 7 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of
Joe Eitel
Region 16 home
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Median cutoff for top 4 (two home games) 18.25 (range 14.35-21.25)
Median cutoff for top 8 (home game) 13.42 (range 10.43-17.79)
Median cutoff for top 16 (playoff berth) 8.26 (range 5.30-11.54)
1.
Wyoming (10-0) 25.76
2.
Taft (8-2) 20.83
3.
Unioto (9-1) 18.75
4.
Archbishop McNicholas (6-4) 15.55
(Top 4 earn two home games)
5.
Archbishop Alter (6-4) 15.30
6.
Bishop Fenwick (6-4) 15.00
7.
Reading (8-2) 14.96
8.
Urbana (7-3) 13.50
(Top 8 earn a home game)
9.
Shawnee (Springfield) (6-4) 12.50
10.
Clinton-Massie (5-5) 11.54
11.
Northridge (7-2) 11.14
12.
McClain (5-5) 10.55
13.
Graham Local (5-5) 10.30
14.
Waverly (5-5) 10.18
15.
Bethel-Tate (5-4) 9.75
16.
Roger Bacon (5-5) 9.53