D1 R4 playoffs viewed as coaches predictions based on their seeding votes

LS92

Well-known member
Reviewing the region's coaches' picks as predictions of the various teams' relative strengths, we can view the playoffs also as a coaches' fantasy bracket, where they (1) picked the result of every game they did not participate in, by rank voting, and (2) get credit for correctly picking any game that their team participates in, since one would presumably never pick against their own team.

Correctly picking/participating the winners of first round games as worth 1 point, and the second round games as worth 2 points, here are how the D1 R4 coaches seeding predictions have turned out thus far:
Moeller: 8 + 4 = 12 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Colerain: 7 + 6 = 13 points, predicting participation win and StX, and LW or participation in the finals.
Elder: 7 + 8 = 15 points, predicting participation win and LW, with LW or participation in the finals.
Fairfield: 7 + 6 = 13 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Hamilton: 8 + 6 = 14 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Lakota East: 6 + 6 = 12 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Lakota West: 6 + 6 = 12 points, predicting participation and StX, with StX or participation in the finals.
Lebanon: 6 + 4 = 10 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Mason: 5 + 6 = 11 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Milford: 7 + 6 = 13 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Oak Hills: 6 + 4 =10 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Princeton: 7 + 6 = 13 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
St Xavier: 6 + 4 = 10 points, predicting LW and participation, with LW or particpation in the finals.
Sycamore: 7 + 8 = 15 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
Walnut Hills: 7 + 8 = 15 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.
West Clermont: 7 + 4 = 11 points, predicting LW and StX, with LW over StX in the finals.

If viewed as a prediction pool, Elder, Sycamore, Walnut Hills, and Colerain are all still in the running to win the predictions contest without requiring their own defeat, though Sycamore and Walnut Hills can at best hope to tie Elder and each other for first. Ironically, Lakota West could still win the predictions, but only if St X beats Lakota West in the regional finals. Elder and Colerain could each win untied if they win this weekend, Elder winning in the event that they both do.
 

Termite2

Well-known member
There is something wrong with your brackets; you shouldn't get any points when a team you picked to lose wins and then beats another teams you picked to lose, but has a lower seed. You got Hamilton with 8 1st rd pts; how is that possible? Hamilton lost it's 1st rd game, so their max should have been 7
 

LS92

Well-known member
There is something wrong with your brackets; you shouldn't get any points when a team you picked to lose wins and then beats another teams you picked to lose, but has a lower seed. You got Hamilton with 8 1st rd pts; how is that possible? Hamilton lost it's 1st rd game, so their max should have been 7
Since coaches could not seed themselves, any game they participate in counts as a correct pick.
 
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