Harrycrane
Well-known member
One of the best week's of the sports calendar with the draft , and full NBA and NHL play-offs starting with both leagues having 8 series going on. NBA saw some great competitive action with 2 games being decided in the final possession and some epic meltdowns by the road teams. Like early in the NCAA tournament, the NBA first half UNDERS have bene in a great run, at one point 14-2-1 and the UNDER overall coming in at a high percentage. Lines have been adjusted at this point, as teams playing with more defensive urgency overall and the refs seem to be letting them play even more than usual at this point. Another trend that has bene taken advantage of is the home teams up 1-0 are on a 33-7 run straight up that has bene added to 28-12 ATS and the UNDER is also a solid 23-16 in these game 2's.
Home teams got off to a hot start in the NHL as well as at omen point the home teams since the start of the play-offs in Pucks and baskets were 16-1. Very little information has been leaked this year leading up to the NFL draft and there as always has been lying posturing and misdirection plays trying to position yourself better . Teams leak less than desirable things about players to mislead and influence what other teams may do and they also overhype some to try to get leverage if a trade is in the works .
Two weeks ago you got a fair vig with Daniels as the second pick . Now it’s -450 .
Feel good about that at this point and also TE Bowers whose draft number opened at 16.5 . UNDER was a great value and should be fine . Tennessee needs an offensive tackle badly but also a receiver . Or wants a receiver . In terms of first round successes and bust rates in recent history the receiver / Tight end positions have the lowest success rates (. 25 percent ) . Receivers are tough to resist for teams . It’s a flashy shiny toy. But they can be divas , they can be fast and big and can jump. But being coachable , not entitled and having a strong work ethic along with handling failure is a more tricky thing to gauge. Most of the top picks with the highest ability levels haven’t failed and deal with not just being better than their opponents. The top receivers at this time are not all 1st round picks at all . Jefferson was a 1st rounder but was the 6th WR taken in that round . He’s the best guy from that class . Tyreek Hill 5th round . Cooper Cupp 3rd round . Emerging Lions star St Brown was a 4th rounder . Tennessee should and I took a position on them taking an offensive tackle ( and another on specifically Alt ) The Giants truly need a WR and will take one with their first pick most likely .
Harrison at 4.5 was enticing because he’d really is as safe a pick as there is at WR and shouldn’t be still there after Arizona picks . Nabors by actually working out has closed the gap and I suppose he could leapfrog Marvin . Harrison is a stud obviously but he is also not a diva and is a great technician with a very strong work ethic and will be as close as there is to a sure thing as there is .
Season ( camp ) is a few months away now and Rocks with a Senior class that has only had Stokes as the head varsity coach are totally immersed in the culture and work as hard as anyone. Team will have some size and strength and will be able to win some games doing what they do as they like to say . What they have been doing is shortening games , by running more and using the clock . QB running is a huge part of this many weeks . The QB situation is the X -factor. They can run 12 personnel a nice percentage of the time with two bigger strong TE’s (. Werling, Patterson ) a three year starter at RB with two 3 year guys on the Oline and that could be enough to win a few games on the schedule by itself . Of course one of those TE’s could be used as O Lineman (. Werling did play some snaps due to injury ) or even D-Line to add some needed size . Three year starter at receiver and the teams best playmaker Hudson was a QB as a younger player including Frosh year . Packages for him at that position could help in some situations but the receiver stable isn’t what it has been for much of the last 20 years . Stokes hasn’t had the same depth of skill guys Crabtree had most years in his two decade stint . 7-3 is doable again for the third straight season . They play some good QB’s some with a lot of experience . The defensive coaches will have to be at their best as they lost a handful of key players and are rebuilding a bit on that side no doubt . Look for at least situationally for a few guys to play on both sides
Home teams got off to a hot start in the NHL as well as at omen point the home teams since the start of the play-offs in Pucks and baskets were 16-1. Very little information has been leaked this year leading up to the NFL draft and there as always has been lying posturing and misdirection plays trying to position yourself better . Teams leak less than desirable things about players to mislead and influence what other teams may do and they also overhype some to try to get leverage if a trade is in the works .
Two weeks ago you got a fair vig with Daniels as the second pick . Now it’s -450 .
Feel good about that at this point and also TE Bowers whose draft number opened at 16.5 . UNDER was a great value and should be fine . Tennessee needs an offensive tackle badly but also a receiver . Or wants a receiver . In terms of first round successes and bust rates in recent history the receiver / Tight end positions have the lowest success rates (. 25 percent ) . Receivers are tough to resist for teams . It’s a flashy shiny toy. But they can be divas , they can be fast and big and can jump. But being coachable , not entitled and having a strong work ethic along with handling failure is a more tricky thing to gauge. Most of the top picks with the highest ability levels haven’t failed and deal with not just being better than their opponents. The top receivers at this time are not all 1st round picks at all . Jefferson was a 1st rounder but was the 6th WR taken in that round . He’s the best guy from that class . Tyreek Hill 5th round . Cooper Cupp 3rd round . Emerging Lions star St Brown was a 4th rounder . Tennessee should and I took a position on them taking an offensive tackle ( and another on specifically Alt ) The Giants truly need a WR and will take one with their first pick most likely .
Harrison at 4.5 was enticing because he’d really is as safe a pick as there is at WR and shouldn’t be still there after Arizona picks . Nabors by actually working out has closed the gap and I suppose he could leapfrog Marvin . Harrison is a stud obviously but he is also not a diva and is a great technician with a very strong work ethic and will be as close as there is to a sure thing as there is .
Season ( camp ) is a few months away now and Rocks with a Senior class that has only had Stokes as the head varsity coach are totally immersed in the culture and work as hard as anyone. Team will have some size and strength and will be able to win some games doing what they do as they like to say . What they have been doing is shortening games , by running more and using the clock . QB running is a huge part of this many weeks . The QB situation is the X -factor. They can run 12 personnel a nice percentage of the time with two bigger strong TE’s (. Werling, Patterson ) a three year starter at RB with two 3 year guys on the Oline and that could be enough to win a few games on the schedule by itself . Of course one of those TE’s could be used as O Lineman (. Werling did play some snaps due to injury ) or even D-Line to add some needed size . Three year starter at receiver and the teams best playmaker Hudson was a QB as a younger player including Frosh year . Packages for him at that position could help in some situations but the receiver stable isn’t what it has been for much of the last 20 years . Stokes hasn’t had the same depth of skill guys Crabtree had most years in his two decade stint . 7-3 is doable again for the third straight season . They play some good QB’s some with a lot of experience . The defensive coaches will have to be at their best as they lost a handful of key players and are rebuilding a bit on that side no doubt . Look for at least situationally for a few guys to play on both sides
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