@Rich Kotite ... it took me a while to unearth this tweet from ESPN's Bill Connelly from last fall. It's certainly not scientific, but it's relevant for this topic. It is a Week 8 2023 ranking of all 665 NCAA college football teams. NAIA is not included in this list, but even without those schools, it adds value.
It shows that North Central and Mount Union (ranked 222 and 224, respectively) are better than all but 13 NCAA D2 programs. For reference, Tiffin, based here in Ohio, was ranked at 219, which would mean a game between Tiffin and either North Central or Mount Union would be a PICK-EM game.
Interestingly, both UMU and North Central will be sending WRs to NFL camps this summer. The Purple Raiders' Wayne Ruby has signed with Jacksonville. And North Central's DeAngelo Hardy has signed with the Ravens. Both players can ball (and as a Wheaton parent, I'm thankful to finally see Hardy move on!).
Just as interesting, to me, is Connelly had Cortland as his sixth best D3 team after Week 8. They were not ranked nearly that high in the D3football.com polls at any point in the year, but went on to win the national championship.
Some other interesting takeaways:
- There's not much difference between D1 Kent State (179) and Mount Union (224)
- There are 53 FCS teams ranked lower than the top D3 team (North Central)
- Colgate checked in at 228 - or six slots below North Central. Wheaton's only regular season loss was to North Central, and they played the Cardinals closer than anyone all season until the final two round of the D3 playoffs.
- Being Cuse fans, the Orange laid a 65-0 pasting on Colgate; ergo, we assumed it would be about a 70-point spread between mid-level ACC Syracuse and the top-level of D3.
All fun with numbers. Not perfect, of course, but I think it gives you the context you're looking for.