I know Fairfield's sophomore class is good, but I still think they take a small step back. Losing the 3 seniors is hard to replace and counting on a bunch of juniors playing against seniors in the GMC is a lot to ask.
Senior class next year in the league will be very weak. Only returning double digit scorers that will be seniors are Burgess (Sycamore), Holden (Hamilton), and Stidham (Oak Hills). Burgess will also be the only clear cut D1 player in the senior class. The league will pretty much be dominated by juniors next year with Trey Perry and Jeremiah Landers as sure-fire D1 prospects, and Gabe Clemons very likely one as well (edit: did some research, and Clemsons will 100% go D1). Fairfield actually returns 6 of their 9 man rotation, which is actually quite a lot, and will be well balanced between guards, shooters, and bigs. Here’s what teams return (barring transfers):
Colerain: 6 out of 8, including all 5 starters
Fairfield: 6 out of 9, 2 starters
Hamilton: 5 out of 7, 3 starters
Lakota East: 3 out of 7, 3 starters
Lakota West: 5 out of 8, 2 starters
Mason: 6 out of 8, 3 starters
Middletown: 5 out of 9, 4 starters
Oak Hills: 5 out of 7, 4 starters
Princeton: 3 out of 8, 3 starters
Sycamore: 3 out of 8, 1 starter
Colerain stunk, so it doesn’t matter that they return 5 starters. Middletown returning 4 starters including a D1 prospect could be quite dangerous coming off a 12-11 year. Oak Hills returns 4 starters, but is losing their clear best player, so I can’t see them moving up in the league pecking order. 4 different teams return 3 starters. Princeton is one of them, but don’t have other players with varsity experience to supplement, although they were very good on JV and are most likely to land a transfer. Maybe they take a step back, but they will still be a tough out. Lakota East won’t have any depth, but the 3 guys back are really good. I see them about the same as this year. Mason lost their 2 best players but is going to have a ton of program depth. Again, I think they are about the same. Hamilton had a bunch of guys playing this year that weren’t varsity ready and lost their best player. They do return 1 very good player, but hard to see them much better. Lakota West lost their 3 best players and their coach (might be an improvement there though), and were 9th. Can’t see them moving up. Sycamore has the least returning production in the league, although they will return the league’s best player. They’ll be worse, but hard to see them out of the top half. Fairfield will have a lineup with 6-10 and 6-5 in the front court, with 3 guards returning, one that averaged 8 ppg, one that hit a game winning 3 in the Regional Semi, and one whose last name is Crim. Are you betting against Fairfield?