Allan Lichtman

[BlackandGold]

Actually this is a great point. It wasn't Lichtman who came on Yappi and bragged about the infallibility of his model. Nor was it Lichtman who came here and told EVERYONE who disagreed with his model to shut the hell up and do some research. It was YOU.

I did not. I was consistent in saying that a model based on history is a better predictor than polls.

So yea I owe professor Lichtman an apology as all he did wrong was have parameters in his model unable to detect the upcoming Trump win.

What parameters was it?

 

[RazorRamon]

LOL if Lichtman had picked trump there would have been trump loons touting Lichtmans record.

312

 

[Guillotine]

Here’s your buddy Black and Gold having a meltdown. How many posts did you post about Allan Lichtman before the election?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1854865038063882515

THAT was frickin' awesome.

He knows his ship just sank.

lmao

 

[lotr10]

What parameters was it?

I'll leave the answer to that question to you and Professor Lichtman. But since his model failed to correctly predict the outcome of this election it's clear that a number of the parameters he uses in his model were wrong.

 

[SayMyName]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1854309964711665830

 

[cabezadecaballo]

I did not. I was consistent in saying that a model based on history is a better predictor than polls.

Only if you understand all the pertinent, contemporary “inputs”, and are able to accurately compensate for how they differ from history in your prediction

You and Lichtman obviously failed there. Just own it and move on like an adult.

For once in your Yappi life. lolol

What parameters was it?

 

[winbypin]

You're lying.

It's not hard to pick the winner of the presidential election really. I have remained undefeated.

 

[Costa]

It's not hard to pick the winner of the presidential election really. I have remained undefeated.

I only missed 1992 as I totally underestimated Perot.

 

[Caleb]

I just watched this guy on Cuomo's show on News Nation. What a jerk. He's upset because the Republicans pretty much beat the Dems at their own game.The ladies of the View would love this guy

 

[bigkat]

Allan Lichtman and his 13 keys can shove it where the sun don’t shine.

wasn't he also the German guy on Die Hard.... that Bruce Willis had issues with?

Allan Lichtman and his 13 keys can shove it where the sun don’t shine.

 

[JackEd]

wasn't he also the German guy on Die Hard.... that Bruce Willis had issues with?

I believe it was his younger brother.

 

[zski71]

His problem is his own bias put factors into the Harris column when they should have been placed in the Trump column.

 

[lchsman]

I just watched this guy on Cuomo's show on News Nation. What a jerk. He's upset because the Republicans pretty much beat the Dems at their own game.The ladies of the View would love this guy

 

[cabezadecaballo]

I just watched this guy on Cuomo's show on News Nation. What a jerk. He's upset because the Republicans pretty much beat the Dems at their own game.The ladies of the View would love this guy

https://twitter.com/x/status/1856860394779779364

 

[lchsman]

 

[y2h]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1856860394779779364

Instead of taking the L and quietly going away licking his wounds for the next 4 years he thought it would be productive to share his crazy with the world.

You hate to see it.

 

[cabezadecaballo]

A bit like B&G. Wonder what Ann Selzer's doing?

retiring

 

[SayMyName]

 

[ironmanz35]

A bit like B&G. Wonder what Ann Selzer's doing?

B&G is working through the denial stage of post election grief. He is taking a break and spending some much needed time with his ducklings.

 

[cabezadecaballo]

View attachment 69149

 

[lotr10]

Instead of taking the L and quietly going away licking his wounds for the next 4 years he thought it would be productive to share his crazy with the world.

You hate to see it.

He's upset because with 2 losses in the last 30 years his model has fallen behind the cookie store that predicts presidential elections based on which cookie customers take.

 

[lotr10]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1859011252674326684

 

[lchsman]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1859011252674326684

That was great. Lichtman is such a hack!

 

[lotr10]

That was great. Lichtman is such a hack!

Yes he is. Anyone that looked at his model and the "keys" he used could see it was a poorly thought out piece of garbage. That historians and political "scientists" think they know anything about data modeling is laughable on its face.

 

[cabezadecaballo]

That was great. Lichtman is such a hack!

As if we hold elections so that he has something to predict. He had one job. He pooped on his shoes.

 

[AllSports12]

"blasphemy against me"

Hell, even Trump doesn't go to those lengths of narcissism......

 

[lotr10]

Lichtman is a pompous a##.

 

[lotr10]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1859306031668674838

 

[gobluetom]

But "the keys", you stupid people aren't intelligent enough to understand the magnitude of my awesomeness.

Say 10 Our Fathers and beg for forgiveness.

This guy is a clown.

 

[lchsman]

But "the keys", you stupid people aren't intelligent enough to understand the magnitude of my awesomeness.

Say 10 Our Fathers and beg for forgiveness.

This guy is a clown.