Region 9 after week 9 (extreme analysis)
Most of this post is the MATH used to determine the Harbin points average. If you disagree with a pick I made as to who would win, I put how that affects the average and you can add or subtract as needed to see how it affects things overall [set up to be easy for nonMath people to use ] Normally, I have the better record winning unless common opponents or recent results led me to believe otherwise.
Below is an extreme mathematical analysis of the 10 teams with the best chance to make the playoffs in Region 9. Based on what has happened weeks 19 and what will likely happen week 10 with favorites winning, here would be the rankings:
FYI: I believe Dover beats New Philadelphia, Licking Valley beats Granville, and Hamilton Township beats Logan Elm.
1) TriValley 28.95 win (100)
2) Dover 28.44040 win (82)
Granville 27.45 win (91)
3) Jackson 26.48571 win (100)
4) Athens 26.25 win (100)
Logan Elm 25.55 win (82)
5) Granville 23.35 lose to Licking Valley (82)
Dover 22.95101 lose to New Philadephia (73)
New Philadelphia 22.4 win (82)
6) Logan Elm 21.95 lose to Hamilton Township (73)
7) DeSales 20.90412 win (82)
8 ) Chillicothe 18.1 win (73)
9) New Philadelphia 18 lose to Dover (73)
10)Big Walnut 17.88636 win (73)
Prediction as of 10/25/14
#1 TriValley hosts #8 Chillicothe (could easily be New Philly or Big Walnut)
#2 Dover hosts #7 DeSales
#3 Jackson hosts #6 Logan Elm
#4 Athens hosts #5 Granville
ORDER if all R9 teams listed win (except New Philly losing to Dover)

#1 TriValley (Projected 100) L1/10 + L2/10= 50/10 + 239.5/10=28.95
Week 19 L1= 45, L2= 195.5
Week 10 L1=5 beat Philo (45) & gained L2= 18.5 Minus 1.85 from ave. if Philo wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 25.5
Granville over Licking Valley (0), if LV wins (5.5); Add .55 to ave. if LV wins
Zanesville over Marietta (5.5), if Mar wins (0); Minus .55 from ave. if Mar wins
West Muskingum over Morgan; TV beat both (5), if Mor wins (4.5) Minus .05 from ave. if Mor wins
Maysville over Claymont (5), if CL wins (0) Minus .5 from ave. if CL wins
Crooksville over John Glenn; TV beat both (5), if JG wins (4) Minus .1 from ave. if JG wins
Sheridan over New Lex; TV beat both (5), if NL wins (5.5) Add .05 to ave. if NL wins

#2 Dover (Projected 82) L1/10 + L2/9.9= 44/10 + 238/9.9=28.44040 Projected Average (Approx. 22.95101 if New Philadelphia beats Dover in week 10)
Week 19 L1=38.5 , L2=172
Week 10 L1=5.5 beat New Philadelphia (72) & gained L2= 39 Minus 4.48939 from ave. if NP wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 27
Lorne Park over St. Joan of Arc (who knows?)(6), if JoA wins (0) Minus .60606 to ave. if JoA wins
Poland over Canfield (0),if Canfield wins (5.5) Add .55556 to ave. if Canfield wins
Waite over Woodward (5.5), if Woodard wins (0) Minus .55556 from ave. if Woodard wins
Zanesville over Marietta; Dover beat both (5.5), if Mar wins (6) Add .05556 to ave. if Mar wins
Coshocton over River View (5), if RV wins (0) Minus .5155 from ave. if RV wins
Cambridge over Meadowbrook (5), if Mead wins (0) Minus .50505 from ave. if Mead wins

#3 Granville (Projected 91) L1/10 + L2/10= 47/10 + 227.5/10=27.45 Projected Average (Approx. 23.35 if Licking Valley beats Granville in week 10)
Week 19 L1=42, L2=166.5
Week 10 L1=5 beat Licking Valley (72) gained L2=36 Minus 4.1 if LV wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 25
River Valley over Upper Sandusky (5); if UA wins (0), Minus .5 if UA wins
Heath over Northridge (4.5), if Northridge wins (0) Minus .45 from ave. if Northridge wins
Cambridge over Meadowbrook (5), if Meadowbrook wins (0) Minus .5 from ave. if Meadowbrook wins
Newark Catholic over Utica (5), if Utica wins (4) Minus .4 from ave. if Utica wins
Watkins Memorial over Lakewood (5.5); Granville beat both, if Lak wins (6) Add .05 to ave. if Lak wins
Johnstown Monroe over Licking Heights (0), if LH wins (5) Add .5 to ave. if LH wins

#4 Jackson (Projected 100) L1/10 + L2/9.8= 47/10 + 213.5/9.8=26.48571 Projected Average
Week 19 L1= 42, L2= 171
Week 10 L1=5 beat Gallia Academy (45) & gained L2= 18.5 Minus 2.38776 from ave. if GA wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 24
Wellston over Vinton County (5.5); if VC wins (0), Minus .56122 from ave. if VC wins
Chesapeake over Waverly (0); if Ches wins (4.5), Add .45918 to ave. if Ches wins
West Jefferson over Londan (5), if Lon wins (0), Add .51020 to ave. if Lon wins
Hartley over Ready (0); if Ready wins (4.5), Add .45918 to ave. if Ready wins
Wheelersburg over P. West (4.5); if PT wins (0), Minus .45918 from ave. if PT wins
Logan over Warren Local (5); if WL wins (6), Add .10204 to ave. if WL wins
Hughes over Portsmouth (0); if Ports wins (5.5), Add .56122 to ave. if Ports wins
Ironton over Raceland (4); if Race wins (0), Minus .40816 from ave. if Race wins

#5 Athens (Projected 100) L1/10 + L2/10=49/10 + 213.5/10 =26.25 Projected Average
Week 19 L1=45 , L2=157.5
Week 10 L1=4 beat NelsonvilleYork (72) & gained L2=32 (through 8 weeks) Minus 3.6 from ave. if NY wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 24
Jackson over Gallia Academy (0); If GA wins (5.5), if GA wins (5.5) Add .55 ave. if GA wins
Zanesville over Marietta (5.5); if Mar wins (0), Minus .55 from ave. if Mar wins
Logan over Warren Local (0); if WL wins (6),Add .6 to ave. if WL wins
Steubenville over Canada Prep (3.5); if CP wins (0), Minus .35 from ave. if CP wins
Alexander over Meigs; Athens beat both (5), Minus .05 from ave. if Meigs wins
Wellston over Vinton County; Athens beat both (5.5), Minus .1 from ave. if VC wins
River Valley over Northwest (4.5); If NW wins (0), Miinus .45 from ave. if NW wins

#6 Logan Elm (Projected 82) L1/10 + L2/10= 41/10 + 214.5/10=25.55 Projected Average (Approx. 21.95 if Ham Twnsp beats LE in week 10)
Week 19 L1=35, L2=169.5
Week 10 L1=6 beat Hamilton Township (63) & gained L2=30 Minus 3.6 from ave. if HT wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 15
Unioto over Zane Trace (0), if ZT wins (5) Add .5 to ave. if ZT wins
Westfall over Adena (4.5), if Adena wins (0) Minus .45 from ave. if Adena wins
Miami Trace over Washington CH (5.5); if Wash wins (0), Minus .55 from (.55) if Wash wins
Teays Valley over Bloom Carroll; LE beat both (5), if BC wins (6) Add .1 to ave. if BC wins
Liberty Union over Fairfield Union (0), if FU wins (4.5), Add .45 from ave. if FU wins
Amanda Clearcreek over Circleville (0), if Cir wins (5), Add .5 to ave. if Cir wins

#7 DeSales (Projected 91) L1/10 + L2/9.7= 41/10 +163 /9.7=20.90412 Projected Average
Week 19 L1= 37, L2= 126 (assuming Buchtel over North on 10/25/14)
Week 10 L1=4 beat Linsly (43) & gained L2= 16 Minus 2.04948 from ave. if Linsly wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 21
Bishop Fenwick over Chaminade Julienne (0); if CJ wins (5), Add .51546 to ave. if CJ wins
Mount Vernon over New Albany (0); if NA wins (6), Add .61856 to ave. if NA wins
Buchtel over Kenmore (5.5); if Kenmore wins (0) Minus .567010 from ave. if Kenmore wins
Warrensville Heights over Lutheran East (3.5); if LE wins (0) Minus .36082 from ave. if LE wins
St. Charles over Marion Harding (6); if MH wins (0) Minus .61856 from ave. if MH wins
Centennel over Whetstone (6); if Whet wins (0) Minus .61856 from ave. if Whet wins
Winton Woods over Watterson (0), if Watterson wins (6) Add .61856 to ave. if Watterson wins

#8 Chillicothe (Projected 73) L1/10 + L2/10= 36.5/10 + 144.5/10=18.1 Projected Average (Approx. 15.4 if Wooster beats WH in week 9)
Week 19 L1=31 , L2=90
Week 10 L1=5.5 beat Wilmington (72) & gained L2= 38.5 Minus 4.4 from ave. if Wilmington wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 16
Walnut Ridge over Independence (5.5), if Ind wins (0), Minus .55 from ave. if Ind wins
Miami Trace over Washington (5.5); Chilli beat both, if Wash wins (5), Minus .05 from ave. if Wash wins
Hillsboro over McClain (5); Chilli beat both, if McC wins (5.5), Add .05 to ave. if McC wins
Massie over East Clinton (0); if EC wins (5), Add .5 to ave. if EC wins

#9 New Philadelphia (Projected 73) L1/10 + L2/10= 39/10 + 141/10=18 Projected Average (Approx. 22.4 if NP beats Dover in week 10)
Week 19 L1=39, L2=119.5
Week 10 L1=0 Lose to Dover (62). Dover has L2=38.5 Add 4.4 to ave. if NP wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 21.5
West Holmes over Clearfork (5), if CF wins (0) Minus .5 from ave. if CF wins
Niles McKinley over Youngstown East (0), if YE wins (5.5) Add .55 to ave. if YE wins
Northwest over Barberton (6), if Bar wins (0) Minus .6 from ave. if Bar wins
Maysville over Claymont (0), if CL wins (5) Add .5 to ave. if CL wins
Zanesville over Marietta; NP beat both (5.5), if Marietta wins (6) Add .5 to ave. if Marietta wins
Cambridge over Meadowbrook (5), if Meadowbrook wins (0) Minus .5 from ave. if Meadowbrook wins

#10 Big Walnut (Projected 73) L1/10 + L2/9.9= 42.5/10 + 135/9.9=17.88636 Projected Average
Week 19 L1= 36.5, L2= 123.5
Week 10 L1=6 beat Franklin Heights (18 ) & gained L2= 5.5 Minus 1.15556 from ave. if FH wins
New week 10 L2 from previous wins = 6
Madison Comprehensive over Mansfield (0), if Man wins (5.5), Add .55556 to ave. if Man wins
Dublin Scioto over Canal Winchester (0), if CW wins (6), Add .60606 to ave. if CW wins
Olentangy over Hayes (0); if Hayes wins (6), Add .60606 to ave. if Hayes wins
Mount Vernon vs. New Albany (6); Big Walnut beat both
Kilbourne over Orange (0); if Orange wins (6), Add .60606 to ave. if Orange wins
