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  #91  
Old 05-02-18, 06:59 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Taco was in like Millionares Row last time. Gonna be a lil different loo
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  #92  
Old 05-02-18, 07:15 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Taco I would read his post on the last page
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  #93  
Old 05-02-18, 07:19 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Brian can you read a racing form? I can send you some stuff from Derby and Oaks day.

I have people sending me clockers reports from Bruno de Julio and Brandon Stauble. They will help with the under card. I also bought the Timeform package with profiles of each horse, betting strategies for the whole day, and analysis from David Aragona (best trip handicapper imo) and Craig Milkowski who designs their speed figutes and oace projector. And past performances

They do pretty well for themselves and after using their past performances all year I got it for pretty cheap. I can send it to you just PM me if interested
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  #94  
Old 05-03-18, 04:37 PM
clarkgriswold clarkgriswold is offline
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Thanks for the videos Arrogate. Saved a lot of effort and time.

My picks, for what little they are worth:
1) Mendelssohn
2) Justify
3) Hofburg
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  #95  
Old 05-04-18, 06:58 AM
Taco MacArthur Taco MacArthur is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Arrogate View Post
Taco was in like Millionares Row last time. Gonna be a lil different loo
My girlfriend had a couple friends in the infield last year so I saw some of the shenanigans that went on via snapchat. A little different than MR is a slight understatement haha. Although some of the women up in MR last year could barely walk out between the alcohol and the ridiculous hats throwing them off balance.

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Taco I would read his post on the last page
And good looks, I would have missed that.
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  #96  
Old 05-04-18, 07:04 AM
Taco MacArthur Taco MacArthur is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwr112 View Post
Taco,
There are places all over the infield to place bets. The problem is you might not actually get to watch the race either live or on TV. That is unless you use your phone to do so. It's not the party it used to be and that's a real shame. The days of jean shorts, cutoff shirts and their very strict rules of NOT finding alcohol being smuggled in is missed. 9/11 and social media put an end to those days though. It looks to be 80 degrees with a decent amount of humidity on Saturday (rain Friday) I'd scrap the suit and forbid any lady friends from wearing heals if I were you.
Good info! As Arrogate said, I was up in Millionaire's Row last year and that was my first time at the Derby so I have no idea what to expect for the infield this year. I bought a cheap suit off Macy's discount for this specifically though, it's linen and light weight so I'm not worried about throwing the outfit in the trash afterwards. My girlfriend bought these "tampon" flasks off Amazon that we're going to try to smuggle in. We'll see how successful that is.

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  #97  
Old 05-04-18, 07:05 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Is she gonna shove it on up there?
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  #98  
Old 05-04-18, 07:22 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Oaks pick 4 beginning with the Alysheba

A horses
Race 8-3,4,8
Race 9- 2,4,6
Race 10- 6,11
Race 11- 10,14

B Horses
Race 8- 1
Race9-3,10 maybe the 9 to a lesser extent might be a C
Race 10- none
Race 11- 2 maybe 3 as a C
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  #99  
Old 05-04-18, 07:24 AM
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Tickets will look similar to this
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  #100  
Old 05-04-18, 07:39 AM
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Auggie Auggie is offline
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Busy Derby Day and it looks like I will miss the race Feeling the chalk this year and will go with Justify but this is a nice field and I could see any of 8 different horses taking this one.
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  #101  
Old 05-04-18, 08:42 AM
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58Agreed. While I think he is the most likely winner, any number of horses can win this and there is plenty of reason to go against him. Been high on him since his maiden win this year. So I will use him but want to use others as well. There is no denying his talent and usually i go against the favorite in this race but he is that good. The best horse doesnt always win but i cant see a reason to throw him out completely. As stated earlier the curse of Apollo isnt as big of a deal to me anymore. The 3 starts is though. The unraced 2 yr old used to be a huge deal and still is important but not a total disqualifer in this point system derby


I think Bolt is the value play and forgotten horse.

If justify wins I will be more than happy even though he is the favorite. I got him in exactas in the 3rd and 4th derby futures pool. Got him with a bunch of horses and only lost one horse due to missing the race (quip)
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  #102  
Old 05-04-18, 08:47 AM
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Cant figure out what to do with audible or mendelssohn
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  #103  
Old 05-04-18, 08:52 AM
clarkgriswold clarkgriswold is offline
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The Juvenile yesterday was an entertaining race.
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  #104  
Old 05-04-18, 08:58 AM
Taco MacArthur Taco MacArthur is offline
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So I should bet on Justify?
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  #105  
Old 05-04-18, 09:03 AM
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Had that exacta clark. Was all over the 5 when he first raced at Keeneland a few weeks ago and bet him back. I tossed the 4, wesley wards horse
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  #106  
Old 05-04-18, 09:08 AM
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Friends dont let friends bet favorites. I feel like this quote will come back to haunt me
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  #107  
Old 05-04-18, 09:23 AM
Taco MacArthur Taco MacArthur is offline
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Friends dont let friends bet favorites. I feel like this quote will come back to haunt me
Glad we're friends
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  #108  
Old 05-04-18, 09:37 AM
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Scratches changed my bets today....will update later
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  #109  
Old 05-04-18, 09:40 AM
clarkgriswold clarkgriswold is offline
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Glad we're friends
Buttkissing for betting tips! Very wise.
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  #110  
Old 05-04-18, 09:53 AM
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Trust me you dont want my picks. I really have no idea what i am doing. Just glad no one has called me out for my rehtarded ideas
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  #111  
Old 05-04-18, 12:00 PM
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These are my p4s. I changed the value of some and did a couple things differing from this slightly.

Specifically if it gets chalky i loaded up on 3,4/2,4/11/2,10,14

Played a four others with a single in each leg and spreads in the others

Have a feeling this god damn allowance race in the p4 will screw me. Why they put that race in the sequence is just stupid
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  #112  
Old 05-04-18, 02:01 PM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Live in p5 and p4. That last race, the Alysheba was huge. Ended using the 4 the most and even at 2-1 he offered great value over Always Dreaming and Good Samaritan in multi race wagers.
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  #113  
Old 05-04-18, 03:20 PM
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6 wins at 4-1 beating the heavily favored Chad Brown horse. Alive still

Track has an inside speed bias
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  #114  
Old 05-04-18, 03:22 PM
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To hit the p4 i would need the 6 or 11 to win the Edgewood and 2,3,10,14 for the Oaks

For p5 i need 11 in the next and 2,10,14 for the Oaks
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  #115  
Old 05-04-18, 04:09 PM
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7 knocked me out of every thing except for a saver double.
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  #116  
Old 05-04-18, 04:17 PM
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Dumb ride by Ortiz and Castellano. They were much the best
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  #117  
Old 05-05-18, 07:22 AM
Arrogate Arrogate is offline
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Ditch the suit. Sounds like it is wet
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  #118  
Old 05-05-18, 03:16 PM
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Wet track is going to make a deep field even deeper.

I miss the days of "Breakfast at Churchill Downs" on ESPN.
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  #119  
Old 05-05-18, 05:21 PM
Gardens35 Gardens35 is offline
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5-11-6
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  #120  
Old 05-05-18, 05:42 PM
Yappi Yappi is offline
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Just for fun, I'll do a perfecta and trifecta: box 6-12-16
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