For stats geeks - some CDC numbers for the B1G football footprint with new information since the decision to cancel the fall football season that the B1G presidents should consider:
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As has been discussed, the CDC says that of all COVID-19 deaths, only 6% are known to have died of the Rona. 94% died with the Rona, i.e. these folks died of comorbidities of which the Rona complicated.
The B1G footprint has the lowest hospitalization rate for COVID-19 since March 21. Right now, only 2.9% of hospital beds in B1G states are being used for COVID-19 patients.
Only 1.9% of ER visits in the B1G footprint are for COVID-19.
Right now, only 0.26% (not 2.6%, but 1/4 of 1%) of people who reside in the B1G footprint have an active COVID-19 positive case.
Since March, of all COVID-19 cases in the B1G footprint, only 1.5% affected the age group from 15 to 24.
People ages 15-24 make up 12.9% of the population of the B1G footprint, but only 0.2% (1/5 of 1%) of the overall deaths.
20560 NFL players have been doing football activities including contact drills for several weeks. They are not in a bubble. Right now there is one player on the COVID Reserve List.
A top cardiologist at the (pardon my French) Univ of Michigan and another at the Mayo Clinic have cast doubt on the idea of myocarditis being a concern beyond what it normally is.
There have been 3 innovations in testing that are purported to be quicker, more accurate, and cost 4-5$ per test.
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In the absence of a vaccine or herd immunity, how much lower do these numbers need to be for the presidents and Warren to conclude that the risks of playing are acceptable? Those are pretty good numbers, considering.