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- Thread starter CCFREAK
- Start date

As is St. X.I think Mason boys are a pretty good bet.

Boys- no surprises here.

1. Mason

2. St. X

3. Springboro

4. Centerville

5. Beavercreek

6. Tipp City

Girls - 2-5 could be any order or decided by a close margin

1. Mason

2. Beavercreek

3. Loveland

4. Centerville

5. Lakota West

The #1 for Tipp City boys is what pushes them through.

Boys- no surprises here.

1. Mason

2. St. X

3. Springboro

4. Centerville

5. Beavercreek

6. Tipp City

Girls - 2-5 could be any order or decided by a close margin

1. Mason

2. Beavercreek

3. Loveland

4. Centerville

5. Lakota West

I disagree. He makes no difference. #2 , #3 and #4 are their critical runners. He only matters if he runs poorly and only a few points. . They are good at #1 and #5. It could be rough at the other 3 positions. They don't have a terrible gap 1-5, but they do 1-2The #1 for Tipp City boys is what pushes them through.

Agree. Even if he has an “off” race it will likely only add a few points to their score. Those kids back in the pack can get passed by dozens if they are off.I disagree. He makes no difference. #2 , #3 and #4 are their critical runners. He only matters if he runs poorly and only a few points. . They are good at #1 and #5. It could be rough at the other 3 positions. They don't have a terrible gap 1-5, but they do 1-2

Agree on Mason, X, Springboro and Centerville for the Boys.

Boys- no surprises here.

1. Mason

2. St. X

3. Springboro

4. Centerville

5. Beavercreek

6. Tipp City

Girls - 2-5 could be any order or decided by a close margin

1. Mason

2. Beavercreek

3. Loveland

4. Centerville

5. Lakota West

I think it could be really interesting after that. Beavercreek and Tipp are certainly good bets, but Walnut Hills, Loveland, Little Miami, and Moeller will be in the mix.

It’s always interesting how teams are built. Tipp is essentially scoring 4 runners and their 1-5 split could be 2 full minutes. Meanwhile, Walnut Hills 1-5 split could be 30 seconds.

Nice job. Madeira and Ft. Loramie tied for second and their 6th runners finished 33rd and 34th, less than 2 seconds between them.D3 Girls (Only 3 qualify)

1. West Liberty-Salem

2. Maderia

3. Ft. Loramie

-----------------------

4. Botkins

5. Versailles

Little Miami moves on if they don't have that #1, just saying... Having the #1 means you really are only competing four runners vs a teams five.I disagree. He makes no difference. #2 , #3 and #4 are their critical runners. He only matters if he runs poorly and only a few points. . They are good at #1 and #5. It could be rough at the other 3 positions. They don't have a terrible gap 1-5, but they do 1-2

…except if the other team has the #2 or #3 runner you don’t really have much of an advantage. I’ve heard this statement as long as I’ve been around the sport and I always wondered how far back people assume the second place team’s top runner is.Little Miami moves on if they don't have that #1, just saying... Having the #1 means you really are only competing four runners vs a teams five.

He could have run 25 seconds slower and Tipp still finishes in the same position. If their #5 runs 12 seconds slower they go from 6 to 7.Little Miami moves on if they don't have that #1, just saying... Having the #1 means you really are only competing four runners vs a teams five.

Tipp's. #2,3 and 4 only had about a 5-6 second margin for error for each or even combined.

We know they had him. His performance was not as critical as the others on his team. He had 2-4 times the margin of error as his teammates did.

Agreed. Basically, all other things even, the difference between Kimmel having the worst race of his season and best race of his life would not have been reflected in the team score.He could have run 25 seconds slower and Tipp still finishes in the same position. If their #5 runs 12 seconds slower they go from 6 to 7.

Tipp's. #2,3 and 4 only had about a 5-6 second margin for error for each or even combined.

We know they had him. His performance was not as critical as the others on his team. He had 2-4 times the margin of error as his teammates did.

You cannot say the same for Tipp’s 2-5.

A low stick is great, but it you replaced the Gabelman, Kimmel, etc. with Jakob Ingebrigsten, it really doesn’t make their team any better.

Although, I would love to see what Ingebrigsten could run at the Woodridge course. I don’t think even he could get under 14:00 there.