stanford-professor-data-indicates-were-overreacting-to-coronavirus?

This speaks to the necessity of widespread testing just to get answers one way or another. If it were available, the actual infection rate and spread of the disease would be measureable and we wouldn’t need to rely on making decisions on models and projections using assumptions.
Three months after the outbreak emerged, most countries, including the U.S., lack the ability to test a large number of people and no countries have reliable data on the prevalence of the virus in a representative random sample of the general population.
We should recruit an army of recovered/volunteers to test representative samples of populations to determine prevalence of the disease so we can make informed decisions going forward.
 

zeeman

Well-known member
Here’s the full piece— https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

Interesting write-up. It really is a dilemma because letting it rip through without mitigation runs the risk of overwhelming a healthcare system and driving up the death rate, which will cause an economic crisis of its own.
Interesting that you're not sniping this piece as you have done on the DB for posters that had the same thoughts
 

zeeman

Well-known member
This speaks to the necessity of widespread testing just to get answers one way or another. If it were available, the actual infection rate and spread of the disease would be measureable and we wouldn’t need to rely on making decisions on models and projections using assumptions.


We should recruit an army of recovered/volunteers to test representative samples of populations to determine prevalence of the disease so we can make informed decisions going forward.
In this we agree
 
Interesting that you're not sniping this piece as you have done on the DB for posters that had the same thoughts
It supports widespread testing, which has been a major point I’ve made from day 1. Without good data, you have to go with the best models. Get good data to see if/when you can loosen the measures taken to date.
 

zeeman

Well-known member
No one likes the measures taken so far, but they are necessary right now. Now dedicate to testing to determine prevalence to determine if/when we can loosen these restrictions safely.
Don't disagree, but you realize in a country of 350 mil it takes time to ramp up. Maybe we will learn from this and be better prepared for the next one, but we have known for a long time about potential pandemics and those darn little viruses are tricky
 
.
Top