The same anti-body tests that have been proven to be inaccurate?
Can you source that.It has been proven that the antibody test can produce a false negative 30-50% of the time, which means it only 50-70% accurate.
I only post facts, not my opinion. So if numbers/stats offend people, I’m sorry?
One day maybe, one day maybe not. The WHO said asymptomatic people dont transit. People under the age of 50 have a 99.9 percent survival rate IF they get it. The numbers do not support the theories. And yes, they are theories. The facts are WAY WAY less people have died from this. 164 kids died from flu last year. ZERO died from covid. Those are facts. Take away nursing homes and prisons and 468 people died from coronaAnother thing to remember is that children can have the coronavirus and show no symptoms, but then pass it onto others who are in age groups with a much higher fatality rate (coaches, parents, grandparents, etc.)
The WHO just said last week that asymptomatic people can transmit the disease, but it is rare.One day maybe, one day maybe not. The WHO said asymptomatic people dont transit.
The WHO clarified their statement:One day maybe, one day maybe not. The WHO said asymptomatic people dont transit. People under the age of 50 have a 99.9 percent survival rate IF they get it. The numbers do not support the theories. And yes, they are theories. The facts are WAY WAY less people have died from this. 164 kids died from flu last year. ZERO died from covid. Those are facts. Take away nursing homes and prisons and 468 people died from corona
I'd like to pick my NCAA Tourney bracket after it's over, I'm sure I'd do much better...My recommendation for anyone going off of predictions and such is to continue to revisit said predictions and hold the modelers accountable for being wrong.
They should be held to a certain threshold of error and if not it should he noted when they are predicting data in the future. When they aren't in that threshold the agency using that prediction should also have to report how much of a discrepancy was and what they think attributed to it.The biggest numbers we should be looking at are hospitalizations per day. That is a much better indicator if things will take a turn for the worse.
How do you "hold the modelers accountable for being wrong?" You understand that they will be wrong 100% of the time, correct?
If your job was to predict the tournament and make decisions about the health and economy for millions of people. Id hope someone would check your work after the fact before asking you again.I'd like to pick my NCAA Tourney bracket after it's over, I'm sure I'd do much better...
from March 13th, seems to have held up well...
Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to a projection that encompasses the range of the four scenarios. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.
“When people change their behavior," said Lauren Gardner, an associate professor at the Johns Hopkins Whiting School of Engineering who models epidemics, “those model parameters are no longer applicable,” so short-term forecasts are likely to be more accurate. “There is a lot of room for improvement if we act appropriately.”
A coronavirus model once used by the White House now projects more than 200,000 Americans could die of COVID-19 by October 1. The prediction went up by more than 30,000 since last week.
I'd take the over on the 200K, since we've decided the epidemic is bullsh!t.
Anyway, here's a litany of bad things that can happen from corona virus short of dying:
Many of these studies are a very small sample size, but show how much we don't know.
Regardless of more testing or not, the percentage is rising, not just the total of positive tests.We are testing 3 times as many people if not more. I would not be surprised if testing in children rose 5 times.
111 total hospitalizations.
Coronavirus is serious enough on its own. It doesn't need extra fear mongering.
Better yet let's let the fear mongering continue. Schools have already seen their budgets destroyed from the economic impact of Coronavirus, lets add in more unfunded mandates.
That’s great news. Now we’re developing herd immunity.Regardless of more testing or not, the percentage is rising, not just the total of positive tests.
Before: 10-20 out of every 1000 children tested positive
Now: 50-60 out of every 1000 children are testing positive