Division VII Region 28 (Playoffs)

Who wins Region 28?

  • New Miami

    Votes: 3 6.8%

  • Fort Loramie

    Votes: 7 15.9%

  • Marion Local

    Votes: 34 77.3%

  • Cincinnati College Prep

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Perry

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • New Bremen

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Lockland

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Waynesfield-Goshen

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Hardin Northern

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Other

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    44
ex_dc_atc

ex_dc_atc

Moderator
DVII R28 should be an interesting region heading into Week 10. There's still some doubt who the top teams are in the region but there's a lot of doubt about how the last few playoff seeds shake out. Currently the region sits at:

Code: 
1    8-0    1104    Hamilton    New Miami    14.2823    31.5    90.0    87    clinched home game    19.1865    18.4127    15.8214    15.0476    84    2018
2    8-1    602    Fort Loramie    Fort Loramie    14.0444    31.0    106.0    100    clinched playoff spot    16.8500    15.1500    16.1500    14.4500    100    2018
3    7-2    958    Maria Stein    Marion Local    12.2167    28.5    90.5    100    clinched playoff spot    16.9500    16.8500    13.1500    13.0500    100    2018
4    7-2    9272    Cincinnati    Cincinnati College Prep    10.7320    27.0    75.0    97    control own destiny    14.8868    13.5184    12.3316    10.9632    95    None
5    6-3    1242    Lima    Perry    10.2889    21.5    79.0    100         12.9500    12.9000    11.1500    11.1000    100    2017
6    7-2    1092    New Bremen    New Bremen    9.9056    27.5    68.5    100    control own destiny    15.1000    13.9000    11.6000    10.4000    100    2004
7    6-3    886    Lockland    Lockland    9.1414    25.0    63.0    99    control own destiny    14.2933    12.9531    10.6959    9.3557    97    2011
8    7-2    1642    Waynesfield    Waynesfield-Goshen    9.0023    25.0    61.0    98         13.9214    11.9827    11.0204    9.0816    98    2012
9    7-2    694    Dola    Hardin Northern    8.9278    25.0    61.5    100         13.0520    12.2944    10.1768    9.4192    99    2006
10    6-3    1054    Union City    Mississinawa Valley    7.8000    22.5    53.0    100         12.5000    10.9000    9.5000    7.9000    100    2004
11    5-4    122    Ansonia    Ansonia    7.6000    18.0    56.0    100         11.1500    10.0000    8.9000    7.7500    100    2018
12    4-5    1310    De Graff    Riverside    7.4111    14.5    58.0    100    mathematically eliminated    9.1500    8.3500    8.4000    7.6000    100    2018
13    5-4    1546    New Madison    Tri-Village    7.0601    19.0    48.5    98         11.0765    9.0357    8.8898    6.8490    98    None

From seeds 6 down, there's a lot in doubt for the last week of the season. #6 New Bremen plays Minster (8-1) which is a very difficult game. #7 Lockland plays #1 New Miami (8-0). #8 Waynesfield Goshen will play #9 Dola Hardin Northern. #8 Mississinawa Valley plays Arcanum (7-2). Finally #11 seed Ansonia plays #13 seed Tri-Village in Week 10. So the final 3 seeds are very much in doubt heading into Week 10.

Any thoughts on this region and how it plays out?
 
Last edited:
 
ex_dc_atc said:
DVII R28 should be an interesting region heading into Week 10. There's still some doubt who the top teams are in the region but there's a lot of doubt about how the last few playoff seeds shake out. Currently the region sits at:

Code: 
1    8-0    1104    Hamilton    New Miami    14.2823    31.5    90.0    87    clinched home game    19.1865    18.4127    15.8214    15.0476    84    2018
2    8-1    602    Fort Loramie    Fort Loramie    14.0444    31.0    106.0    100    clinched playoff spot    16.8500    15.1500    16.1500    14.4500    100    2018
3    7-2    958    Maria Stein    Marion Local    12.2167    28.5    90.5    100    clinched playoff spot    16.9500    16.8500    13.1500    13.0500    100    2018
4    7-2    9272    Cincinnati    Cincinnati College Prep    10.7320    27.0    75.0    97    control own destiny    14.8868    13.5184    12.3316    10.9632    95    None
5    6-3    1242    Lima    Perry    10.2889    21.5    79.0    100         12.9500    12.9000    11.1500    11.1000    100    2017
6    7-2    1092    New Bremen    New Bremen    9.9056    27.5    68.5    100    control own destiny    15.1000    13.9000    11.6000    10.4000    100    2004
7    6-3    886    Lockland    Lockland    9.1414    25.0    63.0    99    control own destiny    14.2933    12.9531    10.6959    9.3557    97    2011
8    7-2    1642    Waynesfield    Waynesfield-Goshen    9.0023    25.0    61.0    98         13.9214    11.9827    11.0204    9.0816    98    2012
9    7-2    694    Dola    Hardin Northern    8.9278    25.0    61.5    100         13.0520    12.2944    10.1768    9.4192    99    2006
10    6-3    1054    Union City    Mississinawa Valley    7.8000    22.5    53.0    100         12.5000    10.9000    9.5000    7.9000    100    2004
11    5-4    122    Ansonia    Ansonia    7.6000    18.0    56.0    100         11.1500    10.0000    8.9000    7.7500    100    2018
12    4-5    1310    De Graff    Riverside    7.4111    14.5    58.0    100    mathematically eliminated    9.1500    8.3500    8.4000    7.6000    100    2018
13    5-4    1546    New Madison    Tri-Village    7.0601    19.0    48.5    98         11.0765    9.0357    8.8898    6.8490    98    None

From seeds 6 down, there's a lot in doubt for the last week of the season. #6 New Bremen plays Minster (8-1) which is a very difficult game. #7 Lockland plays #1 New Miami (8-0). #8 Waynesfield Goshen will play #9 Dola Hardin Northern. #8 Mississinawa Valley plays Arcanum (7-2). Finally #11 seed Ansonia plays #13 seed Tri-Village in Week 10. So the final 3 seeds are very much in doubt heading into Week 10.

Any thoughts on this region and how it plays out?
Click to expand...
1. New Bremen win and in.
2. Lockland win and in
3. Hardin vs Waynesfield playoff week 10 winner moves on.
4. MV wins and NB and Lockland lose then I believe there in.
5. Ansonia win and need Lockland and MV to lose and I think they get #8 seed.
6. TV needs all of the above to lose and some other games to help them in level 2 points.

I may be way off. Should be some excitement and score watching for sure.
 
4371
 
From what I gather a Marion win and a Bremen loss this week pairs them up round 1? Not sure what the rest of region would look like
 
Redskin Man said:
From what I gather a Marion win and a Bremen loss this week pairs them up round 1? Not sure what the rest of region would look like
Click to expand...

Personally, I really hope that New Bremen makes it in but doesn't face Marion Local right away. As a fan, the perfect world is having Marion Local, New Bremen, and Fort Loramie to not play immediately early on. I would love to see two have to go through each other, to then get to the third. Gives us the most entertainment as fans. I also don't think there's much doubt those are the 3 best teams in the region by a pretty wide margin.
 
Drew Pasteur gives any team outside of Fort Loramie, Marion Local, and New Bremen less than a 1% chance to come out of the Region. Says a lot considering we have an undefeated #1 seed in the midst.
 
ReadyKnightsFan said:
Drew Pasteur gives any team outside of Fort Loramie, Marion Local, and New Bremen less than a 1% chance to come out of the Region. Says a lot considering we have an undefeated #1 seed in the midst.
Click to expand...

That's the issue with computer points....it doesn't have a way to account for bad teams playing bad teams who play bad teams...someone has to win and they end up accumulating points.
 
ReadyKnightsFan said:
I agree. I think the best model to date that we have is Drew Pasteur's formula.
Click to expand...

Well, to play devil's advocate - neither system takes into account "bad games." WLS had 5 starters out for the Fairbanks game. Turned the ball over 5 times, to Fairbanks 0. WLS outgained them in yardage something like 370-150. But WLS lost. Fantastic50 has punished WLS for that loss, even though that was one of those "perfect storm, 1 in 50" games.

So, I guess in summary, any system has flaws. Harbin has WLS higher than what Fantastic50 has - all because of that 1 loss.
 
I was more referring to lesser teams banding together to form a league.....by virtue of math, one probably nabs a playoff bid.
 
Week 11 First Round Matchups are set:

#8 New Bremen (7-3) @ #1 New Miami (9-0)
#7 Mississinawa Valley (7-3) @ #2 Marion Local (8-2)
#6 Hardin Northern (8-2) @ #3 Fort Loramie (9-1)
#5 Perry (7-3) @ #4 Cincinnati College Prep (8-2)

Thoughts?
 
ex_dc_atc said:
Week 11 First Round Matchups are set:

#8 New Bremen (7-3) @ #1 New Miami (9-0)
#7 Mississinawa Valley (7-3) @ #2 Marion Local (8-2)
#6 Hardin Northern (8-2) @ #3 Fort Loramie (9-1)
#5 Perry (7-3) @ #4 Cincinnati College Prep (8-2)

Thoughts?
Click to expand...
Marion Local and Fort Loramie will both win big week 1. I am taking New Bremen by 14 in their match-up. New Miami has had one heck of a year, but they haven't played anyone like New Bremen. I think the Perry vs. CCPA game will be the closest game of the Region this week. I'm going with Perry by 7, but I believe this game could go either way.
 
BucksFan937 said:
Marion Local and Fort Loramie will both win big week 1. I am taking New Bremen by 14 in their match-up. New Miami has had one heck of a year, but they haven't played anyone like New Bremen. I think the Perry vs. CCPA game will be the closest game of the Region this week. I'm going with Perry by 7, but I believe this game could go either way.
Click to expand...
I'm taking CCPA just so they could possibly play a MAC school!
 
65 players vs around 30. If Bremen can get by New Miami, they shouldn't have trouble with CCPA because New Miami blew them out. Then again, the transitive property doesn't work in the playoffs. The key to that particular game would be the New Bremen secondary covering their receivers and defensive line containing the CCPA Qb Mark Smith. Oh and a healthy Mitchell Hayes for NB
 
StateChampion2012 said:
65 players vs around 30. If Bremen can get by New Miami, they shouldn't have trouble with CCPA because New Miami blew them out. Then again, the transitive property doesn't work in the playoffs. The key to that particular game would be the New Bremen secondary covering their receivers and defensive line containing the CCPA Qb Mark Smith. Oh and a healthy Mitchell Hayes for NB
Click to expand...
NB hasn't seen the speed of CCPA so if the Cards actually advance and face em it will be a battle.
 
New Breman and New Miami COULD be a good game...I still think the MAC school should be favored by a whole bunch...but this New Miami team may be pretty good. I am not sure if they can run with the Mercer or Auglaize county boys

CCPA has not beaten a soul...Lockland is their best win
 
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