Division III Region 9: Final Update

simkon

Well-known member
Final Harbin Rankings
1. 9-1 Canfield 29.2934 clinched #1 seed 2017
2. 9-1 Kenston 26.0500 clinched home game 2014
3/4. 9-1 Buckeye 24.2000 clinched home game 2017
4/5. 7-3 Chardon 24.0500 clinched playoff spot 2016
3/5. 8-1 East 25.9 or 22.55 clinched playoff spot 2016
6/7. 8-2 West Holmes 21.0 or 21.5 clinched playoff spot 2012
6/7. 7-3 Alliance 21.15 or 21.10 clinched playoff spot 2017
8. 8-2 Marlington 20.74 or 20.79 clinched playoff spot 2016
9. 7-3 Aurora 20.6000 mathematically eliminated 2017
10. 8-2 Ravenna 20.3500 mathematically eliminated 2012
11. 8-2 Norton 20.1000 mathematically eliminated 1997
 
 
Drew's Region 9 Rankings
1. East (8-1)
2. Canfield (9-1)
3. St Vincent-St Mary (7-3)
4. Lake Catholic (7-3)
5. Kenston (9-1)
6. Louisville (6-4)
7. Aurora (7-3)
8. Chardon (7-3)
9. Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (7-3)
10. Alliance (7-3)
 
Drew's D-III Ranking's
1. Archbishop Alter (9-1 D3 R12)
2. East (8-1 D3 R9)
3. Bishop Hartley (8-2 D3 R11)
4. Canfield (9-1 D3 R9)
5. St Vincent-St Mary (7-3 D3 R9)
6. Trotwood-Madison (6-4 D3 R12)
7. Lake Catholic (7-3 D3 R9)
8. Wapakoneta (9-1 D3 R12)
9. Kenston (9-1 D3 R9)
10. Louisville (6-4 D3 R9)
11. Bishop Fenwick (8-2 D3 R12)
12. Aurora (7-3 D3 R9)
13. Glenville (7-2 D3 R10)
14. Granville (9-1 D3 R11)
15. Chardon (7-3 D3 R9)
 
Regional Championship Probability
Canfield (9-1) 51%
Kenston (9-1) 25%
East (8-2) 17%
Chardon (7-3) 7%
 
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Division III State Championship Probability
Bishop Hartley (8-2) 23%
Archbishop Alter (9-1) 22%
Canfield (9-1) 21%
Trotwood-Madison (6-4) 7%
Kenston (9-1) 6%
East (8-2) 5%

The Field (anyone else) 16%
 
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Appears the only game set in stone is Canfield-Marlington. It’s the playoffs and everyone is 0-0. However with being the home team and Marlington being such a young team, Canfield is a huge favorite in this game. Also wouldn’t mind seeing East beat Buchtel and sliding into the 3 spot. The cards can take care of business at home and get the winner of Chardon-Buckeye in rd 2.
 
Final Harbin Rankings
1 9-1 Canfield 29.9999
2 9-1 Kenston 26.0500
3 9-1 Buckeye 24.2000
4 7-3 Chardon 24.0500
5 8-2 East 22.5500
6 7-3 Alliance 21.1500
7 8-2 West Holmes 21.0000
8 8-2 Marlington 20.7979
 
Updated D-III Rankings
1. Archbishop Alter (9-1 D3 R12)
2. St Vincent-St Mary (7-3 D3 R9)
3. Bishop Hartley (8-2 D3 R11)
4. Canfield (9-1 D3 R9)
5. Trotwood-Madison (6-4 D3 R12)
6. East (8-2 D3 R9)
7. Kenston (9-1 D3 R9)
8. Lake Catholic (7-3 D3 R9)
9. Wapakoneta (9-1 D3 R12)
10. Louisville (6-4 D3 R9)
 
Updated Region 9 Rankings
1. St Vincent-St Mary (7-3)
2. Canfield (9-1)
3. East (8-2)
4. Kenston (9-1)
5. Lake Catholic (7-3)
6. Louisville (6-4)
7. Aurora (7-3)
8. Chardon (7-3)
9. Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (7-3)
10. Alliance (7-3)
11. Revere (6-4)
12. Tallmadge (5-5)
13. West Holmes (8-2)
14. Marlington (8-2)
15. Buckeye (9-1)
 
I'm sure a lot of people are happy STVM did not get in the playoffs. You have to win the games you schedule, so there are no excuses.
STVM would of strolled through this weak region IMO.
 
yeah that 21 point win over the 1-9 team to end the season really had the region shaking in their boots.
 
Chardon getting hot at the end of the season really scrambled this region. They were left for dead after week 4 but won their last 6. Unfortunately, they drew the worst possible opponent for them IMO in East, but ya never know. Sometimes all it takes is to get hot at the right time.
 
I wouldn’t say Canfield will roll, however I think Marlingron in opening week is a great draw. If they can get healthy they have a good chance to move on a few weeks. However the loss of Zaremski will be huge for them, he brought a dynamic on both sides of the ball that no one else on that roster can bring.
 
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