District Predictions

 
Central District:
Team - 1. UA, 2. Dublin Jerome, 3. New Albany
Medley - 1. UA, 2. New Albany 3. Hilliard Darby
200 Free - 1. Jay, UA, 2. Shaw, Coffman, 3. Smith, Jerome
200 IM - 1. James, Jerome, 2. Gooding, UA, 3. Kennedy, UA
50 Free - 1. Voss, UA, 2. Meyer, UA, 3. Gaver, Reynoldsburg
Diving - 1. Duperre, New Abany, 2. Rzepka, New Albany, 3. Lee, UA
Fly - 1. James, Jerome, 2. Kennedy, UA, 3. Peck, Darby
100 Free - 1. Voss, UA, 2. Jay, UA, 3. Kuriger, Olentangy
500 Free - 1. Shaw, Coffman, 2. Robinson, Berlin, 3. Dean, UA
200 Relay - 1. UA, 2. Olentangy Liberty, 3. Dublin Jerome
Back - 1. Lapsley New Albany, Suarez, Davidson, 3. Gooding, UA
Breast - 1. Meyer, UA, 2. Gooding, UA, 3. Fry, Canal Winchester
400 Relay - 1. UA, 2. Dublin Coffman, 3. Dublin Jerome
 
rjones said:
Central District:
Team - 1. UA, 2. Dublin Jerome, 3. New Albany
Medley - 1. UA, 2. New Albany 3. Hilliard Darby
200 Free - 1. Jay, UA, 2. Shaw, Coffman, 3. Smith, Jerome
200 IM - 1. James, Jerome, 2. Gooding, UA, 3. Kennedy, UA
50 Free - 1. Voss, UA, 2. Meyer, UA, 3. Gaver, Reynoldsburg
Diving - 1. Duperre, New Abany, 2. Rzepka, New Albany, 3. Lee, UA
Fly - 1. James, Jerome, 2. Kennedy, UA, 3. Peck, Darby
100 Free - 1. Voss, UA, 2. Jay, UA, 3. Kuriger, Olentangy
500 Free - 1. Shaw, Coffman, 2. Robinson, Berlin, 3. Dean, UA
200 Relay - 1. UA, 2. Olentangy Liberty, 3. Dublin Jerome
Back - 1. Lapsley New Albany, Suarez, Davidson, 3. Gooding, UA
Breast - 1. Meyer, UA, 2. Gooding, UA, 3. Fry, Canal Winchester
400 Relay - 1. UA, 2. Dublin Coffman, 3. Dublin Jerome
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Is St. Charles not in this district?
 
FletchMacFletch said:
Is St. Charles not in this district?
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St. Charles will finish 4th at best. Liberty & Coffman may beat them as well moving them to 6th. Bears win easily. The only hope for the rest of the district is that they don't even begin to rest for district meet as the top of their team will be tapering for the state meet and the Central District meet is early this year.
 
rjones said:
St. Charles will finish 4th at best. Liberty & Coffman may beat them as well moving them to 6th. Bears win easily. The only hope for the rest of the district is that they don't even begin to rest for district meet as the top of their team will be tapering for the state meet and the Central District meet is early this year.
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Dang, with that two extra days of prep and the studs they have, I’m revising my predictions. UA will dominate at state this year. I have come to see the light!
 
Central District Prediction
Team: UA, SC, Jerome
200 Medley Relay: SC, UA, NA
200 Free: Shaw, Coffman; Jay, UA; Smith, Jerome
IM: Aurnou-Rhees, SC; Daily, NA; James, Jerome
50 Free: Voss, UA; Gaver, Reyn.; Wenzel, Scioto
100 Fly: James, Jerome; Peck, Darby; Nash, SC
100 Free: Voss, UA; Jay UA; Morris, NA
500 Free Aurnou-Rhees, SC; Shaw Coffman, Smith, Jerome
200 Free Relay: UA, SC, Liberty
100 Back: Lapsley, NA, Seidt, SC; Lennox, SC
100 Breast: Fry, Canal Winchester; Meyer UA, List, SC
400 Free Relay: UA, SC, Jerome
 
Here's how each district scores out based upon sectional times:
Northeast:
1 North Canton Hoover 307
2 Youngstown Boardman 203
3 Hudson 173
4 Stow-Munroe Falls 172
5 Brecksville-Broadview Heights 167
6 Uniontown Green 141
7 Cuyahoga Falls Walsh Jesuit 138
8 North Royalton 133
9 Solon 132
10 Wooster 117
11 Shaker Heights 92
12 Massillon Jackson 88
13 Akron Firestone 76
14 Canton Glenoak 73
15 Parma Normandy 66
16 Cleveland Heights 59
17 Kent Roosevelt 40
18 Mayfield Village Mayfield 33
19 Warren Harding 24
19 Austintown Finch 23
20 Barberton 16
21 Massillon Washington 14
22 Euclid 14
23 Mentor 13
23 Parma Hght. Valley Forge 12
25 Massillon Perry 2
26 Macedonia Nordonia 1

Northwest:
1 Cleveland St. Ignatius 405
2 Toledo St. Francis de Sales 360
3 Strongsville 205
4 Findlay 181
5 Fremont Ross 134
6 Lakewood St. Edward 119
7 Amherst Steele 113
8 Medina 111
9 Toledo St. John's Jesuit 89
10 Wadsworth 68.5
11 Westlake 56
12 Medina Highland 52
13 Sylvania Southview 47.5
14 Perrysburg 46
15 Olmsted Falls 44
16 Avon Lake 39
17 Whitehouse Anthony Wayne 35
18 Avon 29
19 Oregon Clay 26
19 Brunswick 10
20 North Olmsted 1

Southwest:
1 Cincinnati St. Xavier 518
2 Beavercreek 259
3 Mason 247
4 Cincinnati Sycamore 228
5 Liberty Township Lakota East 136
6 Cincinnati Oak Hills 134
7 Kings Mills Kings 120
8 Cincinnati Walnut Hills 112
9 Centerville 107
10 Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller 79
11 Loveland 74
12 Cincinnati Turpin 66
13 West Chester Lakota West 47
14 Oxford Talawanda 46
15 Fairfield 34
16 Milford 25
17 Springfield 25
18 Sidney 21
19 Cincinnati Elder 18
19 Cincinnati Anderson 10
20 Cincinnati Princeton 7
21 Clayton Northmont 4
22 Kettering Fairmont 4
23 Morrow Little Miami 3
23 Troy 1

Central:
1 Upper Arlington 329
2 Dublin Jerome 308
3 Powell Olentangy Liberty 232
4 New Albany 221
5 Columbus St. Charles 218
6 Dublin Coffman 196
7 Hilliard Darby 155
8 Delaware Olentangy Berlin 86
9 Pickerington North 82
10 Thomas Worthington 73
11 Hilliard Davidson 54
12 Gahanna Lincoln 50
13 Pataskala Watkins Memorial 46
14 Westerville North 38
15 Canal Winchester 37
16 Delaware Hayes 31
17 Reynoldsburg 30
18 Lewis Center Olentangy Orange 27
19 Lewis Center Olentangy 27
19 Sunbury Big Walnut 17
20 Worthington Kilbourne 14
21 Dublin Scioto 5
22 Pickerington Central 3
 
As predicted St Charles is out of top 3 Bears will roll. Only thing that will keep this close is that UA won't taper for district. SC will be lucky to hold its position in 5th.
 
swimfan said:
Here's how each district scores out based upon sectional times:
Northeast:
1 North Canton Hoover 307
2 Youngstown Boardman 203
3 Hudson 173
4 Stow-Munroe Falls 172
5 Brecksville-Broadview Heights 167
6 Uniontown Green 141
7 Cuyahoga Falls Walsh Jesuit 138
8 North Royalton 133
9 Solon 132
10 Wooster 117
11 Shaker Heights 92
12 Massillon Jackson 88
13 Akron Firestone 76
14 Canton Glenoak 73
15 Parma Normandy 66
16 Cleveland Heights 59
17 Kent Roosevelt 40
18 Mayfield Village Mayfield 33
19 Warren Harding 24
19 Austintown Finch 23
20 Barberton 16
21 Massillon Washington 14
22 Euclid 14
23 Mentor 13
23 Parma Hght. Valley Forge 12
25 Massillon Perry 2
26 Macedonia Nordonia 1

Northwest:
1 Cleveland St. Ignatius 405
2 Toledo St. Francis de Sales 360
3 Strongsville 205
4 Findlay 181
5 Fremont Ross 134
6 Lakewood St. Edward 119
7 Amherst Steele 113
8 Medina 111
9 Toledo St. John's Jesuit 89
10 Wadsworth 68.5
11 Westlake 56
12 Medina Highland 52
13 Sylvania Southview 47.5
14 Perrysburg 46
15 Olmsted Falls 44
16 Avon Lake 39
17 Whitehouse Anthony Wayne 35
18 Avon 29
19 Oregon Clay 26
19 Brunswick 10
20 North Olmsted 1

Southwest:
1 Cincinnati St. Xavier 518
2 Beavercreek 259
3 Mason 247
4 Cincinnati Sycamore 228
5 Liberty Township Lakota East 136
6 Cincinnati Oak Hills 134
7 Kings Mills Kings 120
8 Cincinnati Walnut Hills 112
9 Centerville 107
10 Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller 79
11 Loveland 74
12 Cincinnati Turpin 66
13 West Chester Lakota West 47
14 Oxford Talawanda 46
15 Fairfield 34
16 Milford 25
17 Springfield 25
18 Sidney 21
19 Cincinnati Elder 18
19 Cincinnati Anderson 10
20 Cincinnati Princeton 7
21 Clayton Northmont 4
22 Kettering Fairmont 4
23 Morrow Little Miami 3
23 Troy 1

Central:
1 Upper Arlington 329
2 Dublin Jerome 308
3 Powell Olentangy Liberty 232
4 New Albany 221
5 Columbus St. Charles 218
6 Dublin Coffman 196
7 Hilliard Darby 155
8 Delaware Olentangy Berlin 86
9 Pickerington North 82
10 Thomas Worthington 73
11 Hilliard Davidson 54
12 Gahanna Lincoln 50
13 Pataskala Watkins Memorial 46
14 Westerville North 38
15 Canal Winchester 37
16 Delaware Hayes 31
17 Reynoldsburg 30
18 Lewis Center Olentangy Orange 27
19 Lewis Center Olentangy 27
19 Sunbury Big Walnut 17
20 Worthington Kilbourne 14
21 Dublin Scioto 5
22 Pickerington Central 3
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Nice work!!
 
Northwest and Central look to be competitive meets for team finish especially the Central. Central times are quite fast—almost as fast as Southwest. Rjones, although I expect UA to win the team title, it will not be unrested. There will be significant time drops. Other than maybe Voss, I can’t imagine anyone not being fully tapered. And don’t count SC out just yet. They traditionally drop more time than anyone. The relays for sectional were unstacked meaning they will move up a lot. Expect all their relays to finish in the top 3. It will be a dogfight but I would not be surprised to see them runner up. I wonder if the short week will throw off anyone’s taper?
 
thedutchman said:
Northwest and Central look to be competitive meets for team finish especially the Central. Central times are quite fast—almost as fast as Southwest. Rjones, although I expect UA to win the team title, it will not be unrested. There will be significant time drops. Other than maybe Voss, I can’t imagine anyone not being fully tapered. And don’t count SC out just yet. They traditionally drop more time than anyone. The relays for sectional were unstacked meaning they will move up a lot. Expect all their relays to finish in the top 3. It will be a dogfight but I would not be surprised to see them runner up. I wonder if the short week will throw off anyone’s taper?
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My guess is you will see UA improve points slightly (they also have 2 decent divers), SC improve massively to 2nd, Jerome, Liberty fall a bit as they were all suited while some of UA and SC were not. Seems like UA/Beavercreek/Mason for second? Maybe Iggy/Francis/Hoover?
 
j
swimfan said:
Diving is included for all but the Northwest. Diving psych was not posted there.
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just a heads up, those diving score are a mix of 6 dive and 11 dive if you want or need to adjust...central boys start tomorrow, i think sw is early as well correct?
 
swimmer24 said:
My guess is you will see UA improve points slightly (they also have 2 decent divers), SC improve massively to 2nd, Jerome, Liberty fall a bit as they were all suited while some of UA and SC were not. Seems like UA/Beavercreek/Mason for second? Maybe Iggy/Francis/Hoover?
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Depends who has the higher relay finishes. On the relays Chaney swims, Mason will be tough for any of these schools to beat.
 
Here's how the state meet scores based on the sectional times:
1 Cincinnati St. Xavier 298
2 Upper Arlington 146
3 Powell Olentangy Liberty 144
4 Beavercreek 141
5 Dublin Jerome 138
6 Cleveland St. Ignatius 135
7 New Albany 113
8 Mason 109
9 Cincinnati Sycamore 105
10 Toledo St. Francis de Sales 91
11 Dublin Coffman 89
12 North Canton Hoover 78
13 Brecksville-Broadview Heights 57
14 Liberty Township Lakota East 48
15 Cincinnati Oak Hills 41
16 Solon 40
17 Cincinnati Walnut Hills 38
18 Loveland 37
19 Wooster 36
19 Cuyahoga Falls Walsh Jesuit 32
20 Kings Mills Kings 31
21 Sylvania Southview 29
22 Lakewood St. Edward 27
23 Delaware Olentangy Berlin 23
23 Youngstown Boardman 23
25 Columbus St. Charles 21
25 Reynoldsburg 21
27 Canal Winchester 20
28 Massillon Jackson 18
28 Stow-Munroe Falls 18
30 Findlay 17
31 Shaker Heights 16
32 Oxford Talawanda 15
32 West Chester Lakota West 15
34 Parma Normandy 14
34 Wadsworth 14
36 Akron Firestone 13
36 Hudson 13
38 Hilliard Darby 11
39 Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller 9
40 Euclid 7
41 Canton Glenoak 6
41 Hilliard Davidson 6
41 Uniontown Green 6
44 Lewis Center Olentangy 5
45 Centerville 4
45 North Royalton 4
47 Strongsville 2
48 Cincinnati Anderson 1
48 Fremont Ross 1
48 Westerville North 1

This includes the diving numbers that are posted, so no diving from the Northwest.
 
Thanks swimfan for the numbers. However, aside from X the state numbers are meaningless at this point. At the district level they may be more predictive. Although be wary of SC and StF. Both have a history of dropping time and moving up. SC has a great deal of room to improve both in relays and in individual events. It's doubtful they can top UA but expect them to be in the top 2. StF will likely close on Iggy. No one will catch North Canton. Expect Mason to finish second in the SW.
 
The relays at district will give a better idea of final times. Mason and Sycamore could finish pretty high in the states. No one will come very close to X. I may go over to the district meet and cheer on some old friends.
 
swimfan said:
Diving is included for all but the Northwest. Diving psych was not posted there.
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final central diving results
1 Rzepa-NA
2 Duperre-NA
3 Matthews-OL
4 Sulek-Hayes
5 Apel-Darby
6 Sculli-OL
7 Boothman-OL
8 Sulek-Hayes
9 Lee-UA
10 Friedauer-OL
11 Kerstetter-UA
12 Carlson-Olentangy
13 Welker-Big Walnut
14 Mumeks-Big Walnut
15White-Big Walnut
16 Clemens-Pick North

Not sure how this changes projections, top 6 are state qualifiers, but two are scratching so top 8 qualify (Matthews and Rzepa scratching)
 
swimmer24 said:
final central diving results
1 Rzepa-NA
2 Duperre-NA
3 Matthews-OL
4 Sulek-Hayes
5 Apel-Darby
6 Sculli-OL
7 Boothman-OL
8 Sulek-Hayes
9 Lee-UA
10 Friedauer-OL
11 Kerstetter-UA
12 Carlson-Olentangy
13 Welker-Big Walnut
14 Mumeks-Big Walnut
15White-Big Walnut
16 Clemens-Pick North

Not sure how this changes projections, top 6 are state qualifiers, but two are scratching so top 8 qualify (Matthews and Rzepa scratching)
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Why are they scratching
 
The Bears dominate Central District setting 5 meet records without being fully tapered. They topped their psych score by over 50 points. Next week fully rested they will push X!
 
rjones said:
The Bears dominate Central District setting 5 meet records without being fully tapered. They topped their psych score by over 50 points. Next week fully rested they will push X!
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they swam well FULLY TAPERED and suited and shaved. Very difficult to drop time again a week plus later

Not pushing x. Not close unless flu hits
 
I believe the date of the Central District meet was dictated by the availability of OSU. It will be interesting to see if the extra days aid swimmers in holding their taper. Congratulations to UA on a great performance yesterday. While they will certainly finish top 5...possibly second, I don't think they will push X. They looked fully rested yesterday. It was a bit surprising that Jerome did not score higher. St. Charles had a strong meet even with their top breaststroker apparently under the weather. I assume that the 200/500 swimmer they scratched was even sicker. They improved by 95 points with everyone but their breaststroker dropping time. Lots of meet records yesterday. Surprisingly UA girls finished a distant third to New Albany. Gahanna girls had a strong meet to finish fourth and they have no seniors.
 
thedutchman said:
I believe the date of the Central District meet was dictated by the availability of OSU. It will be interesting to see if the extra days aid swimmers in holding their taper. Congratulations to UA on a great performance yesterday. While they will certainly finish top 5...possibly second, I don't think they will push X. They looked fully rested yesterday. It was a bit surprising that Jerome did not score higher. St. Charles had a strong meet even with their top breaststroker apparently under the weather. I assume that the 200/500 swimmer they scratched was even sicker. They improved by 95 points with everyone but their breaststroker dropping time. Lots of meet records yesterday. Surprisingly UA girls finished a distant third to New Albany. Gahanna girls had a strong meet to finish fourth and they have no seniors.
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Yes, Central district was moved because of the Ohio state invite. Last year the invite was only on Saturday and Sunday, this year it is a 3 day meet, hence both d1 and d2 being pushed out 2 days rather than the 1 day last year.

In prior years (2015, 2018) the district went to OU when Ohio State hosted Big Tens (4 day meet). It is interesting on why OU wasn’t entertained for this season. The district was at OU in 2006 -2008, but I believe that had to do with the construction of the new Ohio state pool and maybe some other factors?. in 2009, 2 divisions for boys came about. 06-08 was single gender meets (3 separate sessions) at OU, maybe a 4th session wasn’t possible.

Jeff does a nice job a Gahanna
 
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